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La Mariposa
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My monthly results on Binance Lead Trading
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The trade was closed at breakeven.
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$XRP seems to have made a false breakout from the range — it’s hanging right on the edge of a pullback. With that kind of “luck,” it could just as quickly drop to $2. False breakouts typically drive the price below the range support, which for XRP could be a straight path to hell. However, XRP has strong market makers, so the $2 level is likely to be heavily defended.
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$BTC Volume spikes at the highs, bearish divergence. It looks like the big players are closing their longs, taking advantage of the FOMO. In my view, buyers are exhausted. Any further upside seems possible only through short liquidations, which might push the price up only briefly.
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We still have around $6 billion in short liquidations clustered in the $120K–125K zone. This suggests that the current $BTC correction might not go too deep — potentially down to around $100K. With this many short positions in the system, there's a solid chance we could push up to $130K. In other words, a new impulse to break the previous high is still possible. Let’s see how it plays out.
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BlackRock took some profit on $ETH — just a bit. In the context of their total holdings, it's not that much. But the news is being hyped up on social media: “Oh no, the whales sold all their ETH!” According to AI — not all of it. 😄 On August 1, BlackRock barely participated in ETHA sales, and outflows from IBIT (Bitcoin ETF) were minimal. On August 4, BlackRock became a key player: it sold about 10% of its Ethereum and around 0.4% of its Bitcoin holdings within the ETFs.
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