🕒 Updated: August 6, 2025
✍️ By: Noob to Pro Trader | Dr. Waqas YT
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🔎 What Is the Altcoin Season Index?
The Altcoin Season Index, developed using CoinMarketCap data, is a powerful tool to identify where the crypto market currently stands — in Bitcoin Season, Altcoin Season, or somewhere in between.
It works on a simple logic based on 90-day performance:
Altcoin Season = 75 or more of the top 100 altcoins outperform Bitcoin
Bitcoin Season = 25 or fewer altcoins outperform Bitcoin
Neutral Zone = Between 26–74 altcoins outperform Bitcoin
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📊 Latest Status: Index Drops to 38 from 42
According to the latest data, the index has declined to 38, down from 42 just a day ago. That means only 38 of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap have outperformed Bitcoin in the past 90 days.
This suggests that:
Altcoins are underperforming
Bitcoin dominance is rising
Momentum is shifting back to BTC
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🚨 Is the Altcoin Season Over?
Not officially — but we’re on the edge.
A reading of 38 places the market deep into neutral territory, and just a few steps away from full-on Bitcoin Season.
This is a sign that the majority of altcoins are losing strength compared to Bitcoin — a typical shift during times of macro uncertainty or when Bitcoin is leading a fresh market cycle.
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🏆 Bitcoin Back in Charge?
Yes, all signs point in that direction:
✅ BTC dominance has climbed above 52%
✅ Major alts like SOL, MATIC, AVAX, and ADA are stagnating
✅ High-risk coins and meme tokens are cooling off
✅ Bitcoin narratives around institutional adoption and ETF flows are stealing the spotlight again
Bitcoin is showing strength while most altcoins are either consolidating or pulling back. This causes capital rotation from altcoins back into BTC — a pattern we've seen in previous cycles as well.
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🧠 Smart Trader’s Perspective
Here’s what savvy investors are doing:
🔄 Rebalancing portfolios in favor of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and high-conviction altcoins
❌ Reducing exposure to weak or hype-driven coins
📈 Monitoring BTC dominance to anticipate capital rotation
🧘 Practicing patience — because altcoin season always returns, but only when Bitcoin calms down
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💡 Why the Altcoin Season Index Matters
It gives traders a quick market overview
Helps in risk management and rotation strategies
Indicates when it’s time to play defense or go aggressive
Works as a mood barometer for retail vs institutional sentiment
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🔚 Final Thoughts:
The Altcoin Season Index dropping to 38 is a warning — it signals that we’re moving away from broad-based altcoin gains, and heading toward Bitcoin-led momentum.
This doesn’t mean altcoins are dead — just that timing matters more than ever now.
Once Bitcoin stabilizes or consolidates, altcoins will get their moment again — especially those with strong fundamentals and active communities.
For now, all eyes are back on the king: Bitcoin.
Trade wisely. Don’t chase. Anticipate.
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