💥1. U.S. CPI Data (Aug 13)
Overview: July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released, with forecasts at 2.9% headline and 3.0% core. A softer reading could revive expectations of Fed rate cuts (currently priced at 41% for September), boosting crypto liquidity.
What this means: Lower inflation = higher crypto upside; hotter data risks a selloff. (CoinGape)
💥2. Ripple vs. SEC Status Report (Aug 15)
Overview: Ripple and the SEC must submit bi-annual updates. A $50M settlement rumor persists, but former SEC lawyer Marc Fagel argues “0% chance” of no injunction.
What this means: Clarity on XRP’s regulatory status could trigger volatility; prolonged litigation risks lingering uncertainty. (CoinSpeaker)
💥3. Jackson Hole Symposium (Aug 21-23)
Overview: Fed Chair Powell’s speech will clarify policy direction. Dovish signals (rate cuts) historically lift crypto; hawkish tones risk corrections.
What this means: Markets will parse language for hints at 2025 rate trajectory. (Crypto.News)
💥4. SEC Franklin XRP ETF Deadline (Sep 9)
Overview: The SEC must decide on Franklin Templeton’s XRP ETF, modeled after Canada’s approved product. Approval odds are 95% per Bloomberg analysts.
What this means: A greenlight could mirror Bitcoin ETF inflows, driving XRP demand. (Bitrue)
💥5. Fed FOMC Meeting (Sep 16-17)
Overview: Markets expect a potential rate cut (41% probability). Crypto’s correlation with equities (SPY 0.95 7-day correlation) suggests spillover effects.
What this means: Cuts = bullish for risk assets; delays = pressure on BTC/ETH.
💥Conclusion💥
The August 13 CPI print and Jackson Hole Symposium are critical near-term catalysts, with crypto’s fate tied to Fed policy signals. Monitor XRP’s regulatory developments (Aug 15) and ETF approvals (Sep 9) for altcoin-specific moves. Neutral-to-bullish bias if inflation cools, but leverage metrics (-4.25% OI 24h) suggest traders remain cautious.
