As Trump's tariff hammer strikes the globe, ETH dances on the edge of 3550—this is not the apocalypse, but a golden moment for smart people to pick up bloody chips!

News Front:

  1. Tariff Shockwave: The US raises tariffs on Chinese goods to 54%, and EU auto tariffs soar to 20%, causing immediate market panic. In February, ETH plummeted 27% in a single day due to similar policies. Will history repeat itself this time?

  2. Technical Alarm: ETH is currently at 3550, right at the Fibonacci 61.8% key level. If it falls below the 3438 support, it will trigger programmatic sell orders, heading straight to 3300! However, the weekly trend remains intact, and the long-term bullish logic is still valid.

  3. Capital Flight: Cryptocurrency ETFs saw a net outflow of 8.7 billion USD in a single day, and Coinbase's stock price plummeted by 11%. Yet, institutions are secretly bottom-fishing—BlackRock's ETH trust has reached 832,000 tokens, and Fidelity saw a net inflow of 470 million USD in a week.

Ultimate Showdown of Bulls and Bears:

Bearish Scenario: If tariffs trigger a liquidity crisis, miner sell-offs and DeFi capital flight could push ETH down to 3300, even testing the psychological level of 3000.

Bullish Scenario: After all the bad news, the EIP-5005 upgrade and Layer2 explosion will drive ETH to recover, targeting over 4000!

Captain's Practical Strategy:

Short-term Killer: Lightly test long at the current price of 3550, stop loss below 3530; if it rebounds to 3600, increase the position, targeting 3675.

Long-term Hunter: Place orders below 3400 to accumulate in batches, stop loss at 3300, targeting 4000.

Ultimate Skill: Focus on the Coinbase Premium Index. When institutions buy and the premium turns positive, follow the trades immediately!

Death Warning:

Miners may sell: If Chinese mining machines face a 25% tax, North America's mining cost will skyrocket, leading to selling pressure potentially reaching 2 billion USD.

High Leverage Danger: The proportion of long ETH positions in the entire network is 64%. A sudden drop could trigger liquidations worth 160 million USD.

Personal Conclusion:
3550 is not the end, but the starting point for the decisive battle! The tariff black swan will eventually fly away; the underlying logic of ETH is the true path—sharp drops are the reaper's scythe, but they are your golden shovel! If you want to delve deeply into the crypto world but find it hard to get started, click on the profile and follow.@船长趋势 , and gain first-hand information and in-depth analysis!