By the end of July 2024, the analysis and prediction indicate that the market will fall below 60,000 to 50,000, with a minimum of 48,900. The black swan event on 85 will drop the market to 49,000, with a decline of 21,000 points.

On December 3, 2024, the analysis and prediction indicate that the non-farm payrolls on December 6 will change the trend, predicting a drop to 88,000-89,000, suggesting that around 90,000 is a good entry point for a long position. As a result, on December 6, the market fell from 104,000 to 90,500, with a decline of 13,500 points.

On June 26, 2025, the analysis and prediction indicate that 108,300 will stabilize, and the market will break 110,000, ultimately reaching 125,000. The actual market reached 123,200 points. An increase of 14,900 points.

On July 28, 2025, the analysis and prediction indicate that the market will reach 110,000 points. It ultimately reached 111,900 points, with a decline of 11,300 points.

These are just the tip of the iceberg in my analysis and prediction of the market. I just want to illustrate one point: the accuracy of market analysis is crucial for spot trading. Although contracts are mainly based on short-term fluctuations, market analysis can also play a role in assisting analysis and preventing risks. My analysis and prediction of the market are based solely on the six indicators I favor, which are my core skills developed over nearly ten years in the cryptocurrency space (a complete set of indicator analysis techniques and ideas), and have nothing to do with any news or data.

As an old-timer in the cryptocurrency space, I want to tell newcomers who are a bit confused that even if you prefer to focus on news and data, you must prioritize indicator analysis, with the other aspects as supplementary. Remember not to reverse the primary and secondary, or even let the secondary replace the primary.

#技术层面 $BTC