Hyperliquid giảm xuống dưới 38 USD, có thể retest mốc 31 USD

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has just lost an important support threshold, signaling the risk of a price drop in the short term and opening up potential opportunities for long-term investors at lower price levels.

Recent price movements of HYPE reflect prolonged selling pressure, pushing the Token back to the old accumulation area and may remain weak until a clear reversal signal appears.

MAIN CONTENT

  • HYPE failed to break through the 41 USD area, the price returned to the accumulation area from the end of May, currently below the average threshold of 37.9 USD.

  • Strong selling pressure, the declining OBV indicator confirms the downtrend, with a high likelihood of the price returning to the bottom of 31 USD.

  • Opportunities for long-term investors open up if the price falls deep into the low support area, but in the short term, caution is needed for significant volatility.

What is Hyperliquid (HYPE)?

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is a Token in the decentralized derivatives trading ecosystem, noted for its ability to provide high liquidity and a smooth trading experience.

HYPE operates on the decentralized exchange platform Hyperliquid, positioning competitively with similar projects in the DeFi sector. Focusing on high liquidity allows traders to easily access derivative tools, keeping up with modern cryptocurrency market trends.

Since its launch, Hyperliquid has continuously updated features, focusing on providing a safe, transparent user experience and optimizing trading costs. The project's goal is to become the world's leading decentralized derivatives trading platform.

What noteworthy points do recent price movements of Hyperliquid (HYPE) have?

HYPE has just lost an important support level at 38 USD, confirming the downtrend when it failed to break through the 41 USD peak area in mid-July.

In the market analysis on July 25, 2025: “Hyperliquid's failure to protect the 38 USD mark is a clear sign of a new downtrend, especially as the selling trend continues.”

AMBCrypto report, 2025

Data on the chart shows that since the end of May, HYPE has primarily moved sideways within the price range of 31–41 USD. The failed attempt to break the 41 USD peak caused the price to decrease back to the old range, reinforcing the negative short-term trend assessment. Losing the average mark of 37.9 USD and forming a new resistance level at 38 USD are significant signals confirming the likelihood of the price continuing to decline deeply.

Additionally, the OBV (On-Balance Volume) indicator has been continuously declining for two weeks, showing overwhelming selling pressure, causing the rebound to be rejected when approaching the 49 USD mark. The scenario of dropping to the bottom around 31 USD is strongly supported technically.

Why is HYPE under such strong selling pressure?

The selling pressure on HYPE mainly comes from profit-taking, compounded by the overall negative market trend, specifically reflected through the continuously declining OBV indicator.

After HYPE was rejected at the 49 USD price area, capital continuously flowed out of the Token, evidenced by the decline in buying volume on any rebound. Notably, the drop below the 38 USD price area coincides with the mid-range average of the accumulation zone since the end of May, reinforcing a sustainable downtrend.

“Technical signals indicate that short-term investors are still dominating strong sales, with a defensive mindset and waiting for low-price investment opportunities,” said Mr. Tran Minh Quan, Technical Analysis Expert, Techcom Securities, in July 2025.

Techcom Securities, 2025

When demand is weak and cash flow shows signs of standing aside, HYPE is at risk of returning to the bottom price area in the short term, with no signs of a strong reversal. Investors need to tighten risk management and only prioritize short-term trading strategies, avoiding bottom-fishing when no confirmation signals appear.

What is the potential for HYPE's volatility: What should traders pay attention to?

HYPE's price volatility has increased sharply in the short term, especially when affected by Bitcoin's fluctuations around the 111,000–112,000 USD area.

Although Bitcoin has short-term support around 111,000–112,000 USD, if a fundamental price rebound occurs, HYPE may also rally short-term beyond the 38 USD area, creating a fleeting opportunity for two-way trading. However, the overall trend has shifted to decline, so short-term long strategies need to be very cautious with resistance areas at 39–40 USD.

Veteran trader Le Tu Nam commented on July 26, 2025: “With the H4 frame, the appearance of RSI divergence signals that HYPE may recover short-term to the 39–40 USD area, but cannot confirm a complete reversal unless it breaks above 39.2 USD.”

TradingView analyst, 2025

For trend-following traders (short sellers), be aware of the risk of being stopped out when HYPE experiences rapid technical rebounds to the 39–40 USD area. If HYPE does not break the upper resistance area, the probability of further decline to the 31 USD bottom is very high in the near term.

What are the current technical signals: OBV, RSI, and key support-resistance levels for HYPE?

The OBV indicator's deep decline confirms cash flow withdrawal, while the H4 RSI shows positive divergence warning of short-term recovery potential.

Currently, HYPE is trading below the average threshold of 37.9 USD, with the 38 USD area having become a strong resistance in the past 24 hours. In the short term, major support-resistance areas include: Resistance at 38 USD, 39.2 USD, and deep support at 31 USD – which is also the lowest area since the end of May. For swing traders and medium-term investors, managing risk carefully at these levels is the top priority.

“The downtrend is clear when HYPE has not surpassed the resistance of 38–39.2 USD. Active selling still prevails and investors should wait for further confirmation of a reversal,” according to CryptoQuant's On-chain Analysis report, July 2025.

CryptoQuant, 2025

Only when HYPE breaks back above 39.2 USD with increased liquidity confirmed can position reversal from selling to buying be considered.

What strategies should long-term investors and short-term traders adopt with HYPE?

Long-term investors should observe reactions at the 31 USD bottom area to seek accumulation opportunities, while traders should flexibly manage positions at short-term support-resistance areas.

According to AMBCrypto's analysis, the low price area in the prolonged sideways accumulation range is often an attractive area for long-term accumulation or strategic long-term investment positioning. However, investors should prioritize trading small volumes, waiting for clear reversal confirmations, and avoiding risks when prices are still in a significant downtrend. Conversely, short-term traders should closely follow short time frames, leveraging strong volatility for short-selling or technical reversal trades.

All trading decisions need to strictly adhere to risk management principles, placing stop-loss at confirmed breakout areas (above 39.2 USD or below 31 USD) to protect accounts most effectively.

Comparison table: Technical characteristics and key price areas of HYPE from late May to late July 2025

Characteristics Value/Price Area Meaning Peak trading area since late May 41 USD Rejection price area, establishing strong resistance Average accumulation area 37.9 USD Has been broken, turned into resistance Bitcoin's short-term support 111,000–112,000 USD Indirect impact on HYPE's movements Bottom area (range low) 31 USD Strong support, short-term price target if the downtrend continues Next technical resistance 39–40 USD Area where technical rebounds may appear OBV indicator on D1/H4 Continuously decreasing for two weeks Confirms capital withdrawal trend, controlled by sellers H4 RSI Positive divergence Indicates potential for short-term rebound

Forecast and warn of risks with HYPE in the upcoming period

The probability of continuing to drop to 31 USD is high, but in the short term, attention is needed for potential significant volatility arising from rapid market behavior.

Current technical data leans heavily towards a downtrend with strong resistance levels above and cash flow still controlled by the selling side. However, due to the market frequently experiencing unexpected rebounds (when indicators like RSI show positive divergence), the risk of stop-loss hunting in both directions is very high. Investors need to be cautious when using leverage and always set stop-loss levels lower than key support/resistance areas to protect their accounts.

In fact, cryptocurrency trading experts note that correctly identifying the right sustainable accumulation phase often yields significant profits, but hasty bottom-fishing can often lead to losses as prices continue to drop.

“Patience and prioritizing capital preservation are always critical principles in the context of a strong trend and high volatility market like the current one,” said Mr. Nguyen Van Tri, CEO of Helloyield Investment Company, in July 2025.

CEO of Helloyield Investment Company, 2025

Comparing HYPE trading strategies with some altcoins during accumulation and strong decline phases

Token Typical Accumulation Area Reversal Signal Right Time to Trade Main Risk HYPE 31–41 USD Breakout 39.2 USD with increased liquidity When a strong reversal signal is confirmed Strong downtrend, high volatility ARB 0.95–1.2 USD RSI divergence, Volume spikes Place stop-loss below the accumulation area FOMO when the market has not confirmed a rebound OP 1.4–1.8 USD MACD crosses up, breaks resistance area Stick to breakout or breakdown scenarios Overbought/Oversold extended

The table above shows that the characteristics, opportunities, and risks of HYPE are quite similar to those of major Altcoins when trading in a prolonged accumulation zone and facing deep downward pressure. Investors need to be flexible, focusing more on risk management factors rather than just chasing short-term price movements.

Practical notes when investing in HYPE during volatile periods

Prioritize capital preservation and place orders based on high-probability scenarios based on risk management as an important direction for HYPE in the short term.

Trading Altcoins in general, and HYPE in particular, during a downward market trend often requires steel discipline from investors. Specifically:

  • Always place stop-loss close to important breakout areas (above 39.2 USD or below 31 USD)

  • Reduce trading volume, avoid using high leverage during large fluctuations

  • Closely monitor Bitcoin's movements to prepare for price jumps that could trigger stop-losses

  • Wait for multiple timeframe confirmations of price increases instead of relying solely on short-term signals

  • Only increase investment proportions when the price breaks resistance or creates confirmed reversal patterns with explosive liquidity

Strengthening trading discipline and being ready to pass on investment opportunities during unfavorable periods will help investors minimize unnecessary losses while optimizing long-term holding effectiveness when correctly identifying sustainable accumulation areas.

Frequently asked questions

What is HYPE?

HYPE is a Token belonging to the decentralized derivatives trading platform Hyperliquid, developed in the DeFi ecosystem, distinguished by its ability to provide high liquidity.

Why has HYPE dropped sharply recently?

HYPE drops sharply due to profit-taking pressure, cash flow withdrawal along with the overall market downtrend, confirmed by technical indicators like OBV and the down market structure.

What price levels are important support and resistance for HYPE now?

Important resistance: 38–39.2 USD; strong support: 31 USD. If the 31 USD support is broken, the likelihood of further declines increases, while breaking 39.2 USD will prioritize a bullish scenario.

What technical indicators should be monitored when trading HYPE?

Pay attention to OBV, RSI, H4/D1 price structure and liquidity at support-resistance areas to identify reversals or confirm new trends.

What should traders do when HYPE experiences strong volatility?

Always prioritize risk control with stop-loss, monitor Bitcoin to prepare for unexpected rebounds, limit leverage, and do not bottom-fish when there is no clear confirmation.

Does HYPE have potential for long-term investors at this time?

If the price falls deep into the 31 USD area and maintains support, it could be seen as a long-term accumulation opportunity. However, patience and waiting for a clear bottom signal is necessary.

How to distinguish real reversal signals from technical rebounds when trading HYPE?

Use multiple confirming indicators simultaneously, prioritize observing cash flow (OBV), trading volume, and price patterns breaking through strong resistance areas with high liquidity.

Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/hyperliquid-giam-huong-ve-moc-31-usd/

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