🔍 Key Indicators & Current Context
💰 Current Price: $3,445.50 (-2.33% 24h)
⚖️ Trend Overview:
📉 Below EMA(7) ($3,570.52) → short-term bearish
✅ Above EMA(25) ($3,440.21) & EMA(99) ($2,851.80) → medium/long-term bullish
🧱 Key Support: $3,440 (EMA25)
📊 Momentum & Volume Signals
📉 RSI(6): 32.50 – approaching bounce zone
🧨 Stochastic RSI: 2.14 (MA: 1.12) – strongest oversold since 2025
🪫 Volume Collapse: 24h Vol = 66,870 ETH 🔻 -86% vs MA(5) = 477,290
→ Seller exhaustion evident
🔐 Support & Resistance
🛡 Support:
EMA(25): $3,440 → critical
$3,329 (recent low)
EMA(99): $2,852
🧱 Resistance:
EMA(7): $3,570
Swing High: $3,674
Key High: $3,941
📈 ETH Price Prediction
🕒 Short-Term (1–3 Days)
💥 Likely bounce toward $3,570–$3,674 (EMA7 + swing high)
→ Driven by oversold momentum + volume divergence
⏳ Medium-Term (1 Week)
✅ Bullish Case: Breakout above $3,674 may target $3,940–$4,019
❌ Bearish Case: Close below $3,440 may revisit $3,330–$3,000
🧭 Long-Term Bias:
Bullish above EMA(99) = $2,852, but needs to reclaim EMA(7) for full momentum shift
🧠 Trade Plan
✅ Scenario 1: EMA(25) Bounce Play (Optimal Setup)
📍 Entry: $3,440–$3,450 (EMA25) + confirmation (15m green close > $3,460)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $3,570
TP2: $3,674
TP3: $3,940
🛑 Stop Loss: $3,420
🧠 Why?: Oversold + low volume = prime bounce conditions
⚠️ Scenario 2: Breakdown Short (High-Risk Hedge)
🔻 Entry: Only if price breaks $3,440 with volume >100k ETH
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $3,330
TP2: $3,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $3,510
🧠 Why?: Covers unlikely but dangerous black swan drop
📏 Risk Management
📊 Position Size: Max 2% of capital → ETH > BTC in volatility
📐 R:R Ratio: Aim 1:3+ → Risk $30 to earn $90+
✅ Confirmation Triggers:
RSI(6) > 40
StochRSI cross above 5
Spike in volume at bounce or breakout
✅ Conclusion
📈 Bias: Bullish Reversal Expected
🔑 Critical Levels:
❌ Bullish Invalidation: Close below $3,440
❌ Bearish Invalidation: Close above $3,674
🟢 Preferred Setup: Scenario 1 Bounce – backed by strong confluence
🧠 Monitor:
🟣 ETH L1/L2 activity
🏛 SEC ETF headlines
🔗 Correlation with BTC
Trade from here 👉 $ETH
🔔 Follow for More Live Updates |
