Previously, such an announcement would have caused instant declines on Wall Street.
Today, the market barely blinks. Are we witnessing the end of the “shock effect” from the trade war?
💣 Trump is back with a new round of tariffs.
🔺 Tariffs of 35% on Canada, which were at 25%.
🔺 New “reciprocal” measures for 16 countries, including:
🇻🇳 Vietnam, 🇹🇭 Taiwan, 🇹🇷 Turkey, 🇻🇪 Venezuela, 🇨🇭 Switzerland, 🇿🇦 South Africa, and more…
🔍 The goal: to pressure key trading partners in a new stage of global tensions.
😐 But the market... simply did not react.
📉 The S&P 500 fell just 0.1%, and it was more due to bad earnings from Amazon than tariffs.
📆 Just a few months ago, such an announcement would have crashed the indexes.
📉 Bitcoin and Ethereum also remained stable.
🔍 What's happening?
📌 The credibility of geopolitical risk is worn out.
The market seems to have learned that many of these announcements are rhetorical, or end up being negotiated before having a real impact.
📌 The focus is on other fronts:
Rate cuts, inflation, corporate results...
Today they weigh more than campaign speeches or “hard” headlines.
🧠 Key for crypto investors.
The weakening of the 'geopolitical shock' may pave the way for less artificial volatility and more focus on real fundamentals:
🔹 Monetary policy
🔹 Crypto adoption
🔹 Regulation
🔹 Institutional demand
It's a reminder that not every headline moves the market... and that changes the game rules for traders.
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