Key Fundamental Events: On 1

📰 Key Fundamental Events:

$BTC

In August 2025, recent U.S. tariffs and profit-taking avoided major market risks, driving Bitcoin down to below 115,200 $. Ethereum, Solana, and Dogecoin also dropped by up to 8%.

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The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate at 4.25–4.5%, reducing expectations for a near-cut, contributing to pressure on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general.

Meanwhile, the White House released a report titled 'Enhancing U.S. Leadership in Digital Financial Technology,' recommending a new regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, and supporting legislation such as the 'Genius Act' and 'Clarity Act', which provided momentum for institutional investment flows towards Ethereum, especially via ETFs.

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📈 Technical Analysis – Support and Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC)

Critical support levels are at 108,000–115,000 $, with the 50-day moving average around 107,000 $ as a key support.

Nearby resistance is around 119,000–122,000 $, with a potential break towards 125,000–128,000 $ if the breakout is successful.

The chart pattern indicates a cup-and-handle formation that supports the expectation of rising towards 134,500 $ if the upward momentum continues.

Ethereum (ETH)

$ETH

ETH is currently trading around 3,644 $, receiving strong support from ETF flows and the positive regulatory outlook in the U.S.

Current support is in the range of 3,500–3,600 $, while significant resistance is at 3,700–3,800 $, and if it breaks, it may target levels of 4,000 $ and possibly 4,800 $ in the medium term.

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🔍 Risk and Opportunity Assessment

Risk Balance: Profit-taking and regulatory pressures on one hand, and supportive U.S. policies and legislation on the other.

Investor sentiment is affected by uncertainty at the central bank, while institutional investors are increasingly turning towards ETH as a hedge and diversification.

A study by the National Cryptocurrency Association indicated that 55% of potential investors find researching cryptocurrencies complicated, and 70% want reliable information sources before investing. Also, some fear 'missing the boat' after BTC rose more than 30% during 2025.

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🧠 Trading Recommendations

Target: Recommended Action

Short-term trading: Bitcoin support pressure around ~115 K$, and Ethereum ~3.6 K$

Medium-term trading: Waiting for a breakout above resistance: BTC above ~122 K$, ETH above ~3.8 K$

Stop loss below support levels (BTC below ~115 K$, ETH below ~3.6 K$)

Short sellers: Look for rebound opportunities from support, with appropriate stop orders set.

Investors: It might be better to wait for a clear breakout at resistance to join.

Closely monitor any upcoming economic data these days, especially from the United States, as it could shift market dynamics.

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