Post‑Halving Momentum Set to Rescue DOGE—Will August Deliver a Rebound?



August has traditionally been negative for Dogecoin, and with the new month, hopes are that it will continue. If this is true, Dogecoin's decline from July may simply be the start, and the meme currency might tumble into double-digit losses.

Looking at Dogecoin's 11-year record, it's no wonder that investors are wary in August. Seven of 11 years have closed in the red, leaving four green. According to CryptoRank, this performance caused median returns of -9.98% and averages of -0.79%.

While this average is modest, Augusts that closed in the red had a significant loss rate. The Dogecoin price has averaged -10% over the last three years. After the bull market, August 2020 plummeted 9.98%, ending it.

Next year, August 2023, witnessed even greater headwinds, as Dogecoin fell 17.9%. In August 2024, the meme coin crashed 16.9% again, marking three years of red closures.

Trend After Halving Could Save DOGE Price

Altcoin performance after a halving year has held up throughout the years despite August's bearishness. August has been hot after each Bitcoin halving year, generating over 20% profits.

After the 2016 halving year, Dogecoin rose 20% in August 2017. Since 2024 was a Bitcoin halving year, the Dogecoin price might rise 34.2% like it did in 2021.

July closed firmly in the red in 2017 and 2021 before the August rally. In 2025, July saw an almost 35% Dogecoin price surge, deviating from the pattern.

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