Why can trading cryptocurrencies from $100,000 lead to tens of millions or even billions? Why are US stocks and the crypto market so closely related? What will happen to Bitcoin next?

The trading market for cryptocurrencies is always bustling; however, in the capital market game, you need to be smarter than at least 50% of the people to have a chance to make money. Therefore, you need financial knowledge.

True winners are systematically learning hardcore technology. From on-chain data analysis to dynamic leverage strategies, from CFA financial frameworks to DeFi protocol principles, this complete knowledge system is reshaping the survival rules of the crypto market.

I. The Underlying Logic of Technological Dominance over Retail Investors

  1. On-chain data is the real truth detector
    Traditional financial statement analysis is upgraded to the crypto marketOn-chain Forensic-Level Diagnosis: By tracking whale holdings changes through Glassnode, monitoring fund flows with Nansen, and using CVDD (Cumulative Value Destruction Days) to determine market bottoms. For example, when Solana saw a MACD golden cross above the zero axis in 2024, technical analysts accurately captured a 50% price increase, while retail investors were still blindly following trends.

  2. CFA Knowledge Restructuring Investment Cognition
    CFA'sRisk Management Frameworkis revitalizing in the crypto market: Diversified investment is no longer a simple "mainstream coins + altcoins," but ratherCross-chain Asset Composition(such as ETH+SOL+ATOM) + Dynamic Hedging (Options + Insurance Protocols). When Circle goes public in 2025 and triggers a wave of stablecoin regulation, CFA certificate holders can analyze the USDC reserve structure to strategically position themselves in decentralized stablecoin FRAX, outperforming the market by 30%.

  3. Dynamic Leverage Lifeline
    XBIT platform'sAI Dynamic Leverage SystemProof: When Bitcoin's 1-hour volatility exceeds 5%, it automatically reduces leverage from 10x to 3x, which can reduce the loss rate by 42%. This is a model of combining CFA quantitative analysis with crypto market technology—replacing emotional decision-making with mathematical models.

II. The Underlying Resonance Logic between US Stocks and the Crypto Market

  1. Bidirectional Penetration of Institutional Funds
    Traditional asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity are entering through ETFs and stablecoins, with institutional funds flowing into the crypto market exceeding $20 billion in Q2 2025. When US tech stocks plummet, quantitative funds often sell off crypto risk assets in sync, formingCross-Market Linkage Effects. For example, in March 2025, as expectations for a Fed interest rate hike intensified, Bitcoin and the Nasdaq index fell in sync by 15%.

  2. USD Liquidity Barometer
    The stablecoin market size has surpassed $210 billion, becoming the "digital twin" of USD liquidity. When US corporate bond yields rise, USDC reserve funds will shift from US Treasuries to high-yield assets, leading to a contraction in crypto market liquidity. Conversely, the risk demand triggered by a US stock market crash will push up USDT premiums, formingUSD - Stablecoins - Crypto Assetstransmission chain.

  3. Butterfly Effect of Regulatory Policies
    The US (CLARITY Act) has shifted cryptocurrency regulatory authority from the SEC to the CFTC, directly causing Coinbase's stock price and Bitcoin price to rise in sync by 20%. This cross-market transmission of policy expectations requires investors to possessUS Stock Compliance AnalysisandCrypto Market Technical Interpretationcomposite capabilities.

III. Full Analysis of Bitcoin's Trend in 2025

  1. Key Technical Levels

    • Support Level: $81,200 (2025 on-chain cost price)

    • Resistance Level: $120,000 (3x Fibonacci extension of the historical high in 2017)
      When Bitcoin stabilizes above the 20-day moving average (currently $85,000), the MACD golden cross will trigger quantitative funds' programmatic buying, aiming for $100,000.

  2. Fundamental Driving Forces

    • Halving Cycle: Although there will be no halving in 2025, the deflationary effects after the halving in 2024 are still fermenting, with 60% of existing Bitcoins remaining untouched for over a year.

    • Institutional Holdings: MicroStrategy has added 100,000 BTC to its holdings, and BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF holdings have exceeded $5 billion, forming an institutional moat.

  3. Risk Warning Indicator

    • MVRV Ratio: When this indicator exceeds 3 (currently 2.8), caution should be taken regarding long-term holders selling.

    • Miner Behavior: If mining difficulty decreases by 15% for two consecutive weeks, it may indicate that prices are entering a temporary bottom.

IV. Essential Skill Set for Getting Rich in 2025

  1. Layer3 Track Layout
    Vertical public chains in the Cosmos ecosystem (such as Degen Chain designed for GameFi) and cross-chain protocols (Lunar Link from CreataChain) are reshaping the application layer. Learning to use the IBC protocol for cross-chain arbitrage can capture a 20% price difference between Osmosis and Kujira.

  2. RWA Revolutionary Opportunities
    The scale of tokenized US Treasury bonds has exceeded $5 billion, with an average daily trading volume of $800 million in the on-chain bond market. Through Secured Finance's constant maturity pool, annualized returns of 4.5-6% can be locked in, while CFA's duration analysis can hedge against interest rate risks.

  3. AI + Blockchain Practical Applications
    Certora Prover's AI auditing tool can automatically detect smart contract vulnerabilities, avoiding similar race condition risks as Uniswap V4. Combined with Ozak AI's DePIN architecture, it can predict asset price fluctuations through off-chain data, increasing the win rate to 65%.

  4. The crypto market is no longer a "blind gamble" casino, but a comprehensive battlefield of technology, cognition, and capital. From MACD golden crosses to on-chain whale tracking, from CFA risk management to DeFi protocol design, this systematic knowledge framework is filtering true winners. Under the dual dividends of Layer3 explosion and RWA revolution in 2025, investors mastering hardcore technology will hold the high ground in this digital wealth redistribution.

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