ETHUSDT 1d Market Trend Analysis Report

Based on market data provided by CoinAnk

  • Current Price: 3664.27 USDT

  • 24-hour Change: -5.392%

  • Major Support Levels: 3595.95 USDT (S1), 3497.57 USDT (S2)

  • Major Resistance Levels: 3866.76 USDT (R1), 4039.19 USDT (R2)

  • Current Trend: Bearish consolidation (short-term correction, but medium to long-term moving averages remain bullishly arranged)

Detailed Explanation

Technical Indicator Summary

  1. Moving Average System:

    • MA5=3757.43, MA10=3745.65, MA20=3591.21, MA120=2482.44

    • Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) alternate turning points, indicating short-term adjustment pressure.

    • MA20 (3591.21) remains a key support level; if it breaks, it may further pull back to MA60 or S2 (3497.57).

    • MA120 (2482.44) is still far below the current price, indicating that the long-term trend remains bullish.

  2. MACD:

    • DIF=241.11, DEA=271.22, histogram (-30.11) shows a death cross state, with short-term momentum bearish.

    • However, the MACD is still above the zero line, indicating that the overall trend has not completely turned bearish; attention is needed to see if it further crosses below the zero line.

  3. Alert:

    • Upper band=4111.60, Middle band=3591.21, Lower band=3070.82

    • The current price is between the middle band (3591.21) and the upper band, %B=0.60 (neutral to strong), but not positioned to break the upper band, indicating clear upward pressure.

    • If the price breaks below the middle band, it may test the lower band (3070.82).

  4. Relative Strength Index:

    • RSI6=49.43, RSI12=64.95, RSI14=66.51

    • RSI6 is close to neutral (50), but RSI12/14 are still high, indicating short-term overbought correction is in progress, but has not entered the oversold zone.

  5. KDJ:

    • K=56.55, D=67.04, J=35.58

    • KDJ death cross (K crosses below D), indicating a short-term bearish signal, but the J value is close to being oversold (35.58), requiring a rebound.

Capital and Volume-Price Analysis

  1. Funding Rate: 0.00093800% (neutral, no obvious extreme bullish or bearish sentiment).

  2. Trading Volume:

    • 24-hour trading volume surged (6.66 million), but the price simultaneously dropped with volume, indicating short-term selling pressure.

    • Recent candlesticks show multiple high rebounds (e.g., 3873.47→3613.67), creating resistance above.

  3. Capital Flow Data:

    • Contract funding net breakout 24h: -24.28 million USDT (significant outflow of main funds).

    • Spot funding net breakout 24h: -3.33 million USDT (retail investors are recently exiting).

    • Short-term (5m-1H) capital flow is volatile, indicating intense bullish and bearish competition.

Analysis Results

  • Direction: Short selling (high probability of short-term correction, but attention is needed on MA20 support for rebound).

  • Entry Timing:

    • Frontline short position: Enter near the current price of 3664.27, with a stop loss set above R1 (3866.76) (about 5%).

    • Frozen short position: Wait for a rebound to 3750-3800 (MA5/MA10 resistance zone) before entering, stop loss at 3850.

  • Stop loss set: 3%-5% (adjust based on starting point to avoid being stopped out by temporary fluctuations).

  • Target Price:

    • First target 3595.95 (S1), second target 3497.57 (S2), potential profit 5%-10%.

    • If the price stabilizes above MA20 (3591.21) and rebounds with volume, then it is necessary to close shorts and observe.

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