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🚨 FOMC July 2025 Update 🚨
📅 Date: July 30, 2025
👔 Chair: Jerome Powell
📉 Fed Holds Rates Steady
🔒 Fed Funds Rate: 4.25%–4.50%
👉 Fifth straight hold as the Fed balances inflation risks with slowing growth.
⚠️ Rare Dissent Emerges
✖️ Two Fed governors — Michelle Bowman & Christopher Waller — voted to cut now 🪓
📜 First split vote since 1996 — signaling internal debate is heating up 🔥
📊 Economic Snapshot
📉 Growth: "Moderated" — Q2 GDP strong (~3%) but losing steam
💸 Inflation: Still above target (~2.7% core)
🧊 Labor Market: Cooling signs, but still solid
⏳ No Pivot Yet
❌ No rate cut this time
📉 Odds for a September cut drop below 50%
🧠 Powell: “We’ll act when the data says it’s time—not before.”
💥 Trump Turns Up the Heat
🇺🇸 Former President Trump demands cuts
⚖️ Powell responds: “We remain independent. We follow the data.”
📌 Conclusion:
The Fed is walking a tightrope. Inflation is still too high to ease, but cracks in growth are starting to show. For now, Powell & Co. are holding the line — but dissent within the FOMC and political pressure are growing louder. Markets are now eyeing Q4 2025 for the first cut... if the data plays along.
📅 Next FOMC: September 17–18, 2025 — mark your calendars.
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