$UNI Price Prediction & Uniswap Project Analysis

Recently, there have been many inquiries about the price of UNI. As the most important cornerstone of DeFi and the most widely used decentralized trading protocol, Uniswap has always been favored by many investors. Today, I will borrow Surf's analysis to share a few key points.

1. In terms of price, UNI was around 4-5 dollars at the beginning of the airdrop. During the most fervent period of DeFi Summer, which was the peak of the last bull market, it surged to 45 dollars, becoming the highest price in history. During the subsequent bear market, it fell to a low of 3.33 dollars, a drop of over 90%. In the following rebound, it peaked close to 20 dollars last December, showing a strong rebound even without a DeFi recovery.

2. In terms of market share and trading volume, Uniswap has basically locked in its leading position, while other protocols primarily rely on forks. In terms of innovation, Uniswap has always been at the forefront. The last protocol-level innovation was V4-Hook: customizable deployment of liquidity pools, which has generated a total revenue of 41.6 million dollars since its launch.

3. The explosion of UNI's price has many triggers, one of which is the protocol-level fee switch. In the future, it will first be trialed on ETH-stablecoin pairs, with 10-25% of transaction fees allocated to UNI holders. Based on the current market size estimate, Uniswap can generate 1 billion dollars in transaction fees annually.

4. The opening of the protocol-level switch has uncertainties; however, from the perspective of front-end fees, the current fee amount exceeds 56 million dollars. Therefore, I personally speculate that as the most important switch, the Uniswap community will be extremely cautious. Losing a large number of users for the sake of fees would be counterproductive, and it is expected that they will wait further to solidify their leading position in the DEX space.

5. Price Prediction: This is the question everyone asks the most. According to Surf's predictions, there are three price tiers.

*** If the bull market runs normally: then this year, the peak price of UNI will be between 20-30 dollars;

*** If the bull market + fee switch is activated, the peak price of UNI will be between 30-45 dollars;

*** If the bull market + fee switch is activated + DeFi fully recovers, the peak price of UNI can reach 70-100 dollars.

Based on my personal judgment of the market trend for the second half of the year, the probability of UNI breaking 20 dollars this year is extremely high.

PS: The above is merely an analytical opinion and should not be considered investment advice.