In 2014, I entered the cryptocurrency world with 500,000, initially like a blindly chasing newcomer, losing 300,000 in six months. Now, my account balance has surpassed ten million; this isn’t luck, but rather the result of ten years spent slowly honing a trading system of my own—it operates like a precise machine, with each link composed of technical indicators and ironclad rules, each essential.
The 'engine' of this system is the trend judgment module. I treat the **weekly chart** as a 'navigator'; only when the **5-week line** crosses above the **20-week line** to form a golden cross, and the **MACD histogram** turns from green to red, will it trigger a position build-up. In 2020, this signal appeared when Bitcoin was at $10,000, and the system automatically triggered an increase in position, resulting in a sixfold gain in that portion during the subsequent bull market. In November 2021, with the weekly death cross and increased trading volume, the system forcibly reduced positions by 70%, successfully avoiding a subsequent major drop.
The 'Risk Control System' is the core protective net of this system. I set up a three-layer filtering mechanism: the first layer filters out currencies with a market capitalization of less than 100 million dollars; the second layer checks whether the project party holds more than 30% of the shares; the third layer calculates valuation, directly passing currencies with a price-to-sales ratio exceeding five times the industry average. In 2022, a certain altcoin surged aggressively, but its market cap was only 80 million, and the system immediately lit up a red light; it turned out to be a pump and dump, avoiding losses.
The 'Position Adjustment Valve' automatically adjusts positions based on market conditions. When the trend is clear, the position in mainstream coins is 50% and potential coins 30%; during a volatile market, the mainstream coin position drops to 30% and cash ratio rises to 50%; in extreme conditions, all positions convert to stablecoins. During the worst of the bear market in 2018, the system automatically converted 90% of the funds to stablecoins, waiting for the market to stabilize, preserving 80% of the principal.
Every day after the market closes, I let the system perform 'self-iteration'—comparing the day's signals with historical data to adjust parameter thresholds. For example, in 2019, I found that the 'Three Red Soldiers' pattern had a win rate of 70% in a bull market, so I increased the weight of that signal; whereas in 2022, after certain breakout patterns continuously failed, I directly lowered their triggering priority.
In ten years, this system has helped me filter out 90% of ineffective trades and seize 7 major trend opportunities. From an initial 500,000 to now tens of millions, it's not that I'm particularly smart, but this system helps me maintain rationality at all times. It acts like a strict housekeeper, helping me stay calm in greed and lighting the way forward in fear. The fairest part of the cryptocurrency world is that as long as one establishes their own trading system, everyone can earn their share of wealth.
Intraday focus: TREE QKC SPK MDT IOTX FORM
#以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #币安HODLer空投TREE #稳定币热潮
