If the U.S. Federal Reserve cuts interest rates tomorrow (i.e., in the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Thursday, July 30, 2025), market drivers may react as follows:
---
🔍 Potential forecasts and price scenarios
1. Market expectations mostly: very low probability of a cut now
Most analysts (about 97%) expect the Federal Reserve to keep the interest rate in the range of 4.25-4.50% and not to cut it tomorrow.
The potential change rate towards a 25 basis point cut is about 2-3% only, not the expected cut today itself.
2. If the sudden cut occurs
Recent technical analyses, such as from coingape, indicate that a "bullish pennant" pattern may support price targets at ~$143,000, depending on a rebound of 20-32% from the breakout point.
Carlo Pruscino's analysis from CMC Markets estimates that an early cut could push the price of Bitcoin to $112,000 as an initial psychological baseline, possibly higher with subsequent cut plans.
Other reports gather forecasts swings from +13% to +30% in case of a rate cut to 4.0% - 4.25%, which could support a price of around $120,000-123,000.
---
🧠 Evaluating the forecast at a price of $143,000
The forecast is based on technical analysis (pennant + inverted head and shoulders) and not on fundamental factors or economic analysis, so it is not certain.
The scenario for reaching $143,000 requires:
An unexpected and immediate rate cut tomorrow.
Strong buying momentum from investors, and a collective psychological reaction (FOMO).
Exceeding technical resistance levels accurately.
While this target may be possible from a technical analysis perspective, it is beyond the typical market expectations (which are trending towards ~$110-120 thousand).
---
✅ Summary of the forecast
Scenario Expected impact on price
No cut tomorrow (the likely case) Stability around $118-120 thousand
An unexpected cut of 25 basis points Rise towards $112-123 thousand
Unexpected cut + significant technical momentum Possibility of reaching around $143 thousand (rare)
---
Final Review
The expected cut tomorrow is strongly unlikely, according to most sources and betting market analyses.
The forecast of $143 thousand is theoretical and related to a specific technical analysis, not a market consensus or based on strong economic indicators.
The most realistic targets in case of a cut: $112,000 or in the range of $120-123 thousand.
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BitcoinDunyamiz #BiananceSquare #Write2Earn
