This Week (July 28 – August 1) — the final week of the month is packed with key events.
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📋High volatility ahead — as the Fed’s key "threelemma" (inflation, labor market, tariffs) comes into focus.
Several important macro releases are scheduled — each one matters on its own, but combined, they can move markets sharply.
🗓 Monday (July 28)
▪️12:30 UTC – QRA (Part 1): upcoming US Treasury borrowing needs
▪️16:00 UTC – 2Y & 5Y bond auctions – key indicator of market expectations ahead of FOMC
🔗Strong demand = stronger rate cut expectations
🗓Tuesday (July 29)
▪️12:30 UTC – US GDP (Q2 estimate)
▪️16:00 UTC – 7Y bond auction
🗓Wednesday (July 30)
▪️12:15 UTC – ADP employment report – early signal ahead of NFP
▪️12:30 UTC – QRA (Part 2): breakdown of Treasury borrowing
▪️18:00 UTC – #FOMC rate decision (no change expected – 4.5%) + Powell’s press conference
🗓Thursday (July 31)
▪️12:30 UTC – PCE inflation (June) – Fed’s favorite inflation gauge
🗓Friday (August 1)
▪️12:30 UTC – Nonfarm Payrolls (employment)
▪️13:00 UTC – ISM Manufacturing Index (July)
▪️13:00 UTC – Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
▪️All day – July auto sales data
🚨#LIBERATIONDAY 2.0
Potentially the most impactful event of the week: the Trump administration will begin sending “tariff letters” to ~200 countries.
This marks the end of the temporary tariff relief (April 8 – August 1).
Markets expect a new wave of global trade tension — timing is still uncertain.
💡Summary:
Every day brings a new potential driver.
Markets are nervous and highly reactive — sharp moves are likely...
$BTC is currently being held above $117K, but Wednesday and Friday bring high risk of "news bombs".
#bitcoin