Bitcoin has recently fluctuated between $117,000 and $119,000, with a 24-hour trading volume of $7.41 billion, reaching a new high of $123,000 on July 14; Ethereum has risen for eight consecutive days, with spot trading volume surpassing Bitcoin for the first time ($25.7 billion vs. $24.4 billion), and the market is hot.
In the second half of 2025, spot trading can be done, but you need to 'fish in places with more meat and fewer thorns':
Understand the flow of funds: Institutions are closely watching Bitcoin and Ethereum, smart money is positioning in tracks like tokenization of real assets and decentralized networks, do not follow the crowd, keep an eye on the flow of funds.
Pay attention to policy impacts: The US attitude has improved, Ethereum ETF approved; Hong Kong's new regulations in August may eliminate small stablecoins, and small coins carry high risks.
You can lay out derivative opportunities for Bitcoin (such as projects like $STX that help Bitcoin 'gig'), buy small amounts regularly, add to positions when it breaks key lines, and set reasonable targets.
Avoid contract leverage; honestly buy spot.
Operational suggestions:
Fund allocation: 60-70% invest in Bitcoin/Ethereum; 20-30% for speculative gains (the above opportunities); 10-20% keep cash for bottom fishing.
Buying timing: Consider buying when Bitcoin stabilizes at $118,000 and exchange inflows decrease; for other coins, choose those with recent upward trends and trading volume exceeding Bitcoin.
Stop-loss and take-profit: Reduce positions by half if Bitcoin/Ethereum loses more than 15%; exit if mainstream altcoins lose more than 25%; decisively cut losses for small coins losing 35% or breaking previous lows. Increase capital when total returns exceed 30%.
Prevent getting carried away: If a coin surges 50% in a single day, delete the app to calm down, only invest spare money, and do not touch essential living funds. Seek stability at the tail end of a bull market, do not be greedy for wealth.
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