đ° Key Highlights
đč Demand vs. Supply Tensions
As of JulyâŻ25, on-chain data shows longâterm holders have sold over 210,000âŻBTC since early July, yet shortâterm holders purchased around 250,000âŻBTC, indicating demand is currently surpassing available supply .
With the end of July approaching, Bitcoin is up roughly 8âŻ% for the month â slightly above its historical average of 7âŻ% gain in July since 2013 .
đč Price & Technical Context
Bitcoin is trading around $116,300â$116,400, down about 3âŻ% in the past 24 hours and roughly 7âŻ% below its midâJune all-time high .
A key CME futures gap between $114,355 and $115,670 may attract price action seeking to fill it over coming sessions .
With August historically quieter in terms of liquidity and volatility, investors are cautious ahead of the expected lull .
đč Broader Market & Macro Drivers
Institutional appetite remains strong: Strategy Incorporatedâs recent preferred equity offeringâvalued at over $2.5âŻbillionâcould translate into demand for roughly 21,500 BTC priceâwise .
Meanwhile, macro signals such as upcoming durable goods data and potential tariff and Fed policy developments could impact crypto risk sentiment .
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đ§ Why It Matters & Outlook
Bitcoinâs fixed supply and accelerating demand via both institutional and shortâterm holders are reinforcing its scarcity narrative. However, technical pressures and an anticipated August slowdown introduce uncertainty.
If demand stays strong, Bitcoin may retest or surpass recent highs, especially toward the $122Kâ$123K region, though overhead resistance and profitâtaking risks linger.
Alternatively, if liquidity dries up ahead of the lull, price could dip toward $114Kâ$114.5K CME gap fill zones or lower support levels.
Lessons for investors: Keep an eye on:
ETF inflows and preferred-equity deals from corporate players.
On-chain transfers and supply metrics.
Macro and regulatory developments (e.g. U.S. trade policy, inflation data). $BTC #CryptoClarityAct #LatestNewsđ„