80s-born crypto elders: In 10 years, from 100,000 to several million, relying solely on one 'stupid' method
I am 40 years old this year, from Fujian, with two houses, one for my family and one for myself. In my 10 years of trading coins, starting with 100,000 and growing to several million, relying on a 'stupid method' without insider information or luck.
The best time, increased 400 times in 4 months, reaching 20 million.
Now I will share these 3600 days of experience with you for free.
There is a stupid method to trade coins with almost 100% profit. I made over 20 million using this method.
Along the way, I have summarized six major iron rules for trading coins, and today I share them with you in hopes of helping you avoid detours!
Iron Rule One: Understand market sentiment; trading volume is key.
- Volume up but price down: Increased trading volume but no price decline may signal a bottoming out.
- Volume up but price unchanged: Increased trading volume but no price increase may indicate a peak in the short term.
- The rise must continue with volume: During the rise, trading volume must steadily increase; if it suddenly decreases or there is a spike in volume, the rise may end.
- Key volume during declines: During a decline, key levels breaking with volume may indicate a continuation of the downward trend.
Iron Rule Two: Key levels determine buying and selling
- Resistance levels, support levels, trend lines: When the price reaches these points, act quickly!
- Fibonacci Retracement: I use it to predict resistance and support, and it works very well.
Iron Rule Three: Monitor multiple time windows
- 1-minute line: Look for entry and exit timing. - 3-minute line: Monitor the wave situation after entry.
- 30-minute/1-hour line: Determine intraday trend changes.
Iron Rule Four: Don't rush to recover after a stop-loss
- Stop-Loss = End of Trade: Every trade is a new beginning; do not let previous operations affect your mindset.
Iron Rule Five: Simple and practical position management method -- Three-position method:
1. When the coin price breaks the 5-day moving average, buy the first portion;
2. Breakthrough of the 15-day moving average, buy the second portion;
3. Breakthrough of the 30-day moving average, buy the third portion.
- Strict Stop-Loss: Sell the first portion if breaking below the 5-day moving average; sell the second portion if breaking below the 15-day moving average; clear out if breaking below the 30-day moving average!
Iron Rule Six: Selling also requires strategy #Binance Alpha New Listing
- High price breaking below the 5-day moving average: Sell one portion first, observe the subsequent trend.
- Breaking below the 15-day and 30-day moving averages: Without hesitation, sell everything!
Choosing the Coin: Clearly define the cryptocurrency you want to trade, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), etc.
Position Management: Decide your position size, which should be based on your capital management strategy and risk tolerance.
Trading Direction: Determine whether to go long (buy) or short (sell), referencing market trends and technical analysis.
Entry Timing: Choosing the right entry point can be decided based on technical indicators, support, and resistance levels.
Stop-loss Strategy: Set a loss exit point to control risk. Usually set the stop-loss point below the entry price.
Take Profit Setting: Determine a profit exit point to ensure gains. Usually set the take profit point at the target price.
Emergency Response: Develop strategies to respond to unexpected events, such as major news or market volatility.
Review Summary: Summarizing after trading, keeping a log, reflecting on experiences and lessons learned, and adjusting trading strategies. After planning is complete, execution is crucial, maintaining patience and strictly adhering to trading rules.
Proven through 10 years of blood and tears: 90% of techniques are traps, only MACD divergence can break the human nature deadlock.
There is no holy grail in the crypto space, only the breath rhythm of survivors.
"When you stare at the candlestick chart fantasizing about hundred-fold returns, the market makers are calculating your liquidation price using MACD divergence."
In 2015, I entered the crypto space with 500,000, never imagining that ten years later I would experience three liquidations and eight bankruptcy agreements. I also never realized that all technical indicators are puppet strings of market makers, and only MACD divergence is the sharp knife that pierces market lies. Today, I want to tear away the veil of the 'get-rich myth' and tell you through blood-forged MACD strategies: in the crypto space, the secret to survival is learning to dance with market makers.
MACD's three core weapons: divergence, golden cross, and volume strangulation.
1. Divergence Hunting Technique: The DNA code of market makers' washout.
Top Divergence Trap: When BTC peaked at $69,000 in 2021, the MACD energy bar had been shrinking for three consecutive weeks, forming a textbook-level top divergence. At that time, I heavily leveraged long positions but decisively closed positions when the energy bar shrank for the third time, avoiding a subsequent 58% crash.
Bottom Divergence Counter Kill: After LUNA went to zero in 2023, the weekly UST showed MACD bottom divergence signals, combined with on-chain whales at address 0x5f3 accumulating for three consecutive weeks, successfully capturing the 2024 RWA narrative reversal market. 4. "Force Building Chain Reflection"
First Golden Cross Test: In April 2024, when PEPE first crosses the daily line gold, OKEx hot wallet shows unusual movement of 20 million USDT, signaling the dog market maker testing market resistance. 10.
Second Golden Cross Slaughter: When the 30-minute line and the 4-hour line form a resonant golden cross, and on-chain large transfers break through the warning line, it is the real charge moment.
3. Volume Strangulation Formula: MACD + on-chain data death cross
Energy Bar Contraction Warning: When the price makes a new high but the height of the MACD red energy bar is less than 70% of the previous peak, immediately trigger the '5-15-30 Minute Three-Period Stop-Loss Strategy'. 9.
Exchange Hot Wallet Monitoring: When MACD golden cross occurs, if Binance/OKEx hot wallet USDT inflow does not reach three times the 24-hour average, it is considered a false breakout signal.
Eight years of blood forging eight iron rules: MACD warrior's battlefield code
① Three Period Resonance Law
30-minute line determines direction: When MACD golden cross occurs, the DIF line must break through the 0-axis and stabilize. 2-hour 94-hour line determines strength: energy bar height must reach 80% of the previous high, otherwise regarded as weak rebound. 7-day line locks trend: weekly MACD is above the zero axis, any daily death cross is a wash (2024 BTC oscillation period between $48,000 and $52,000 has been verified). 10
② Divergence Stop Loss Formula
Top Divergence Core Button: Price makes a new high + MACD peak is lower than the previous high + net outflow from on-chain whale addresses > $5 million, immediately trigger stop-loss 4
Bottom Divergence Bottom Picking Tool: Price breaks previous low + MACD energy bar shrinks > 60% + exchange contract long-short ratio <0.7, build positions in three batches. 7
③ Energy Bar Attack and Defense Battle
Red Energy Bar Explosion Point: When three consecutive bars shrink below 50% of the previous bar, it is regarded as a signal of bullish exhaustion (2025 DOGE $0.35 crash precursor). 9
Green Energy Bar Charge Signal: The first volume bar height breaks through the 30-day average by 2 times, combined with the surge in exchange borrowing rates, is regarded as a precursor to a breakout. 10
MACD and Human Nature Game: From an 8 million liquidation to a 600 million cognitive leap.
1. Emotional Firewall Building Technique
Energy Bar Meditation Training: Daily compare 10 sets of historical top and bottom divergence cases to cultivate muscle memory against false breakouts.
On-chain data synchronization monitoring: When the MACD signals, it must verify the movements of whale addresses (see the end of the article for free access to Nansen whale monitoring). 4
2. Ultimate Position Control Formula
MACD Golden Cross Starter: The first position should not exceed 5% of total capital, increase positions by 3% when breaking previous highs, and add 2% when retracing without breaking.
Divergence Stop Loss Guillotine: Single losses strictly controlled within 2%, stop trading immediately after three consecutive stop losses for 24 hours. 9
3. Cycle Law Cognitive Reconstruction
Bull-Bear Transition Detector: Weekly MACD golden cross above the zero axis confirms the main wave of the bull market (2025 AI + DePIN narrative launch signal).
Death Cross Alarm: Monthly MACD high position death cross + USDT market value ratio <5%, immediately activate bear market defense mode 10
Instructor's Ultimate Advice
"MACD is not a predictive tool but a thermometer of the main capital flow. When you learn to measure market sentiment with the height of the energy bar and discern the market maker's hidden cards with divergence signals, a net worth of 600 million is merely a byproduct of cognitive monetization."
Blindly going solo will never bring opportunities. Follow me, and I will lead you to explore tenfold potential coins! Top-tier resources!
Entering the crypto space for the 10th year, I initially lost a lot, had ups and downs in between, but now rely on crypto for my livelihood. I have summarized some experiences to share with you all, hoping it helps you. As long as you follow this, it will be hard to lose money. Short-term trading secret technique! 15-minute candlestick battle method, quickly harvest market fluctuations.
In crypto trading, an ideal 15-minute trading strategy involves applying technical indicators such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and Relative Strength Index (RSI), combined with robust risk management techniques. Effectively using these tools helps us find accurate entry and exit points, which is particularly critical for short time frame trading styles.
The key to this strategy lies in executing strict stop-loss orders and adjusting position sizes based on current market volatility.
Key components of a successful 15-minute trading strategy depend on several key factors, including market conditions, precise technical indicators, clear entry and exit points, strict risk management measures, ideal trading timing, rigorous backtesting, ongoing market monitoring, and the efficiency of selected indicators.
Using relatively tight stop-loss and tailored take-profit levels is very important. For example, a typical suggestion might be to set a 10-point stop-loss with a 20-point take-profit, effectively protecting traders from significant capital losses while locking in potential gains.
Adjusting position sizes based on volatility and current market conditions can strengthen this protection framework, ensuring that each trade is proportional to the assessed risk (2:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
Effective technical indicators suitable for 15-minute trading
Due to their responsiveness and accuracy, several tools stand out in assessing the effectiveness of technical indicators in the 15-minute trading cycle. Moving averages and Bollinger Bands provide detailed information about market trends and volatility, making them very useful in short-term trading analysis.
Relative Strength Index (RSI), Parabolic SAR, and Average Direction Index (ADX) help identify potential reversal points and maintain market momentum, thus enhancing your trading decisions. Moving averages
Using moving averages, especially the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, can simplify trend analysis and help determine market volatility in 15-minute trading charts. These short-term moving averages are often used in executing momentum trading strategies, focusing on capturing rapid market movements triggered by currency pair volatility.
The moving average crossover technique is a key aspect of this method. When the 5-day moving average crosses above the 10-day moving average, it indicates a potential buying opportunity; conversely, it is a selling signal. These moving averages also help traders identify support and resistance levels, which are crucial for trend-following strategies in this compressed time frame. By understanding the position of these levels, traders can better predict potential reversals or trend continuations, thus enhancing decision-making accuracy.
Combining Fibonacci retracement with moving averages provides another framework for price action analysis. Through this combination, traders can identify significant price points and adjust their strategies to ensure alignment with micro fluctuations and overall trends displayed in the 15-minute chart.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in 15-minute trading strategies. This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, with values ranging from 0 to 100.
Typically, an RSI (Relative Strength Index) below 30 indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a potential buying opportunity, while above 70 indicates an overbought condition, signaling a possible sell-off. Traders commonly use these thresholds to predict reversals when the market reassesses prices.
RSI also provides signals for trend confirmation. When RSI is consistent with the current price trend, it confirms the current momentum, allowing traders to strengthen their positions accordingly. For example, in a bull market, RSI above 50 supports the continuation of an upward trend. In a bear market or price decline, RSI below 50 can confirm the downward trend.
RSI divergence plays an important role in identifying changes in market dynamics. When RSI diverges from corresponding price trends—i.e., price makes a new high or low but RSI does not—this often indicates a weakening trend and may foreshadow a reversal.
This inconsistency between price and RSI can be a strong signal prompting a reassessment of positions, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of short-term trading strategies.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Band indicators can help traders assess market volatility and identify potential breakout points in 15-minute trading strategies. By placing price movements within dynamic 'envelopes', these indicators adjust according to recent price fluctuations, making them very suitable for the 15-minute time frame, which requires rapid decision-making.
◎ Bollinger Band Squeeze (Contraction): When the Bollinger Bands tighten around the price, it indicates reduced volatility, usually foreshadowing significant price movements. Traders observe the breakout after the squeeze as a signal to enter trades.
◎ Breakthrough and Reversal: Price breaking through the band can indicate an impending reversal or continuation of the trend, which is crucial for quick profits on the 15-minute chart.
◎ Bollinger Band Width: This indicator helps quantify market volatility. A narrowing width indicates potential squeeze, while an expanding width indicates increased volatility.
◎ Touch Points: When the price touches the lower or upper band, it can serve as a key trading signal, indicating overbought or oversold conditions.
Each of the above aspects ensures that Bollinger Bands become an integral part of effective trading in short time frames (especially during squeezes), providing insights into market dynamics (especially during consolidations).
Parabolic SAR (Parabolic Stop and Reverse)
Another effective technical indicator for 15-minute trading strategies is the Parabolic SAR, which performs excellently in setting trailing stop losses and timing exits. This indicator is known for its ability to provide clear exit signals, enhancing the risk management techniques of short-term traders.
When analyzing the Parabolic SAR indicator
(Parabolic SAR) In strategy, backtest results show that this indicator performs well in trending markets. Traders typically use it to determine stop-loss levels, effectively protecting profits or preventing large losses. By adjusting the acceleration factor, traders can fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to align it with their trading strategy.
When comparing the Parabolic SAR indicator with other indicators, its effectiveness is reflected in its simplicity and direct visual presentation on the chart. Unlike more complex indicators, the Parabolic SAR provides direct, actionable information without the need for extensive explanation, which is crucial in the fast-paced 15-minute trading window. Average Direction Index (ADX)
Average Direction Index (ADX) is crucial for quantifying trend strength and identifying the current market trend. Traders rely on ADX to show the strength of the trend. The interpretation of ADX is important under various market conditions, providing a clear view of whether the trend is strengthening or weakening. When trading in a 15-minute time frame, ADX provides critical information:
Trend Confirmation: An ADX value above 25 indicates a strong trend, laying a reliable foundation for trend-following strategies. This level of trend strength is crucial for confirming potential entry signals. ◎ Detecting Trend Weakness: A declining ADX value indicates a weakening trend, reminding traders that market conditions may change or to act cautiously.
ADX Crossover: When +DI (positive directional indicator) and -DI (negative directional indicator) cross, it may indicate a trend reversal, guiding traders on when they might exit or enter opposite positions. ◎ Filtering Market Noise: By distinguishing between trending markets and range-bound markets, ADX helps filter out trading setups with low profit potential, focusing on those with higher success probabilities. Stochastic Oscillator
Based on the Average Direction Index, the stochastic oscillator can also serve as a tool to identify overbought and oversold conditions in 15-minute trading. This indicator is very suitable for short-term traders looking to capitalize on rapid market fluctuations.
The stochastic oscillator involves two lines: %K, which measures the current price relative to the highest and lowest prices over a specified period; %D,
It is the moving average of %K. When %K breaks above %D in the oversold zone (below 20), it usually indicates a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, when %K breaks above %D in the overbought zone (above 80),
When breaking %D, it usually indicates a sell signal. The settings of the stochastic oscillator can be adjusted; however, on the 15-minute chart, traders typically use %K with a 14-period and %D with a 3-period. These settings help smooth the output of the indicator, making signals clearer, especially in short-term trading where frequent price fluctuations can easily disrupt signals.
Identifying divergences in the stochastic oscillator can improve trading accuracy. When the price forms a new high or low while the stochastic oscillator does not show corresponding changes, a divergence occurs, suggesting a potential price reversal. Divergences can serve as clues, indicating possible strength changes in price movements that may not be evident in pure price action.
SuperTrend (Super Trend Indicator)
In 15-minute trading, another important indicator is SuperTrend, which effectively identifies trend direction and sets ideal stop-loss levels. The advantage of SuperTrend lies in its simplicity and clarity, accurately issuing bullish or bearish signals for market sentiment.
SuperTrend combines price volatility and Average True Range (ATR) factors to determine the position of trend lines. This helps traders make informed decisions quickly based on current market conditions, especially suitable for short-term trading like 15-minute charts.
When configuring SuperTrend settings, traders typically adjust the ATR multiplier and period to suit the volatility and price dynamics of the traded asset. Adjusting these settings is crucial for improving the indicator's sensitivity to price fluctuations, thus enhancing the accuracy of trend prediction and the effectiveness of stop-loss orders.
Determine Entry and Exit Points
Determining precise entry and exit points on a 15-minute forex chart requires the use of technical indicators and chart patterns to quickly capture short-term price fluctuations. Traders must analyze various trading indicators and patterns to make informed decisions quickly.
The following are important tools and concepts for determining entry and exit points:
◎ Candlestick Patterns: Use common 15-minute candlestick patterns, such as engulfing patterns, hammer lines, or shooting stars. These patterns can indicate potential reversals or trend continuations, providing clear signals for entry or exit.
◎ Fibonacci Retracement: Apply Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential reversal points in the short term. These retracement levels typically serve as support or resistance, where prices may pause or reverse, hence they are very important for quick trades.
◎ Support and Resistance Levels: Strong support and resistance levels are crucial in 15-minute trading. They provide areas where prices may pause or reverse. Identifying these levels helps in planning entry strategies for breakouts or rebounds and setting precise stop-loss or take-profit points.
◎ RSI and Moving Averages: Combine RSI with moving averages (such as the crossover of 5EMA and 20EMA) to confirm entry signals. RSI helps identify overbought or oversold conditions, while moving averages are used to determine trend direction and momentum, aiding timely execution of trades. Three common 15-minute trading strategies
Due to their effectiveness and adaptability, several strategies are widely used.
The opening range breakout strategy leverages early market volatility to establish profitable positions.
Conversely, breakout retest strategies and trading bull market flags provide methods to identify and capitalize on patterns for potential profits within this short timeframe.
Regarding the opening range breakout strategy
The opening range breakout strategy leverages the volatility of the first 15-minute candlestick after the London session opens, profiting by setting trades at its highs and lows.
By focusing on price behavior during this time period, traders can see potential directional trends based on the intensity and market movements after the market opens.
◎ Visual Candlestick Chart: The first 15-minute candlestick is crucial; its upper and lower shadows represent potential breakout points.
Market Entry: Traders set buy orders above the high of the candlestick and sell orders below the low, aiming to capture rapid fluctuations.
◎ Volatility Analysis: Evaluating the size and shape of the opening candlestick can provide insights into early market sentiment and potential volatility.
◎ Trend Recognition: Successful breakouts may confirm or establish the direction of the trend, guiding subsequent trading decisions.
The opening range breakout forex strategy utilizes candlestick patterns to identify trading opportunities by observing price behavior and market volatility, ensuring that traders align with the initial momentum of the market.
While the opening range breakout strategy leverages early market volatility, the breakout and retest strategy focuses on capturing price movements after retesting key support or resistance levels. This currency trading method is based on one principle: once a key level is broken, the price is likely to retest that level again before continuing the trend.
Traders using this method will observe breakout patterns on higher time frames (such as 1-hour or 4-hour charts) to identify relevant support or resistance levels for the currency pair.
Once these levels are determined, the strategy shifts to the 15-minute chart, focusing on backtest rebounds. The core of this strategy is to enter trades during these rebounds, taking advantage of frequent small fluctuations that occur when the price retests previous breakout levels.
After trading coins for 10 years, starting with 100,000 in capital and reaching 20 million, I just used this trick, with a win rate of 99%, suitable for everyone.
The method I share today is actually very simple, even if you are a crypto novice, as long as you strictly follow this method, you can easily make money.
First, we need to set the moving averages on the candlestick chart to three moving averages: the 5-day moving average, the 15-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average, with the 30-day moving average being the lifeline, a strong support or resistance. Then we can trade the coin using these three moving averages.
1. The chosen coin must be in an uptrend, and of course, those in consolidation are also acceptable, but those in a downtrend or with downward opening moving averages must not be chosen.
2. Divide the funds into three equal parts; when the coin price breaks above the 5-day moving average, buy 30% with light position, then buy another 30% when the coin price breaks above the 15-day moving average. Similarly, buy the final 30% when breaking through the 30-day moving average. This requirement must be strictly executed.
3. If the coin price does not continue to rise after breaking the 5-day moving average but instead retraces, as long as it does not break the 5-day line+, keep the original position; if it breaks, sell.
4. Similarly, if the coin price breaks through the 15-day moving average but does not continue to rise, hold as long as it does not break the 15-day moving average. If it breaks, sell 30% first; if it does not break the 5-day moving average, hold 30% of the position at the 5-day moving average.
5. When the coin price continues to rise and breaks through the 30-day moving average, if a retracement occurs, sell according to the previous method.
Six: Selling is the opposite; when the coin price is high and breaks below the 5-day moving average, first sell 30%, and if it does not continue to drop, hold the remaining 60% position. If the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day moving averages are all broken, sell everything; do not hold out hope.
This 'foolproof' operation method, while simple, is most importantly about execution. After you buy in, the trading system is established, and only by strictly following trading discipline can you make a profit.
The wind is here, and profits are skyrocketing! Seize the moment, with Biao Ge, doubling your wealth is not a dream.
