July 22nd Morning $ETH Market Analysis and Operations:

Price 3771.58 USD, above BOLL upper band 3857.82 USD 5.1%, reaching a near three-year peak. Volume is only 18.6% of MA5, indicating major withdrawal. RSI1 reached 97.40, extremely overbought, historically when RSI1 > 95, a pullback of over 90% occurs within 24 hours. MACD bars are decreasing in volume, with a significant difference from previous highs, indicating hidden divergence. The rebound touches the extreme Fibonacci 618% level, presenting strong resistance.

Operation Suggestions:

Liquidation: Sell spot at current price of 3771 USD, stop loss for contract long below 3750 USD, high risk of delay.

Shorting: Break through 3771 USD to short, target 3500→3067.36 USD. Hedge by buying 3200 USD put options and selling 3900 USD call options.

Bottom Fishing: Consider if it breaks down 3067.36 USD with significant volume and a daily fluctuation > 15% + long lower shadow, otherwise wait and see.

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