【The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.4%】According to Golden Finance reports and CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 41.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.5%.