**Updated Analysis of the Cryptocurrency Market (July 21, 2025)**
Based on the latest market data and legislative developments, here is a detailed analysis of Bitcoin (119,000 USD) and Ethereum (3,800 USD)
🔷 Bitcoin (BTC) at 119,000 USD
Driving Factors for the Rise
1. U.S. Legislative Developments:
- Signing of the GENIUS Act to regulate stablecoins, and the approval of the CLARITY Act and measures against central bank digital currencies.
- These laws enhance institutional legitimacy, but full implementation may take months, creating cautious optimism.
2. Institutional Flows:
- Inflow of 1.9 billion USD to Bitcoin ETF funds last week (especially BlackRock).
- Rumors of SEC approval soon for Bitcoin derivatives ETFs (with leverage).
3. Whale Activity:
- Large investors are buying significant amounts at any price dip, supporting price stability at record levels.
Technical Risks:
- RSI Indicator: at 86 (dangerously overbought signal).
- Psychological Resistance: 125,000 USD, and Critical Support: 110,000 USD.
- Increased Leverage: 300% increase in 48 hours, raising the risk of mass liquidations during a correction.
Short-term Forecast:
|Scenario | Target | Verification Conditions|
| **Continued Rise** | 140,000 USD | Break above 125,000 USD with continued institutional flows. |
| **Sharp Correction** | 100,000–105,000 USD | Nasdaq falls 40%