First, let's talk about the conclusion:
ETH is currently following the rhythm of a trial rise after a major force has shaken out positions. In the short term, there is volatility, while the medium term outlook is bullish. Key price levels: 3720/3810/3920.
The volume structure shows that 3740-3780 is a dense chip area. Once it stabilizes above 3780, the short sellers' defense becomes very weak;
Do not chase at high positions and do not cut losses at low positions. The institution is playing psychological games, not looking at technical indicators, but controlling people's minds.
Strategy suggestions:
When the direction is unclear, your position is your safety belt. When the rhythm is unclear, stop-loss is your lifeline.
Short-term rhythm:
If it pulls back near 3720 without breaking, you can try a small long position;
If it strongly breaks above 3810, you can chase a small segment up to 3880-3920;
Set the stop-loss below 3700 to guard against false breakouts.
Medium-term layout:
During the consolidation period, watch more and act less, waiting for a "breakthrough + pullback confirmation" before entering;
If it can stabilize above 3900, there is a chance to test the previous high of 4200;
The medium-term defense level is 3700. If it breaks that level, exit and observe.
Why do many people get shaken out?
Because they do not understand the rhythm of the main force, only looking at the fluctuations of the K-line, resulting in chasing after it rises and cutting losses when it falls, leading to a total loss.
On my end, it’s about ambushing in advance, confirming signals, and heavily profiting.
It’s not luck, it’s rhythm + logic.
If you can see this, you are already one step closer than most people.
What you need now is just to "follow the right person."