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#ETH 短期回调压力显著（概率68%），但长期牛市结构未破。建议日内逢高做空，中线投资者待3,650区域布局多单。
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#ETH 链上数据偏空： 巨鲸流出：30分钟/1小时巨鲸资金流为负（-0.17→-0.23），聪明钱强度（36-37）中性偏低。 恐慌情绪：恐惧贪婪指数40（恐慌），社交情绪（58-60）中性但无积极催化。 流动性萎缩：成交量/7日均量比0.32-0.6（普遍低于均值），ETF波动率降至0.68%。
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#eth 链上/宏观背离：巨鲸流入(0.33) vs ETF流出(-127亿) → 短期博弈加剧 技术共振：日线云层支撑(3,256) + 4小时斐波50%(3,669) = 强支撑带 波动率压缩：15分钟布林带宽度仅1.2% → 预示突破临近 市场情绪：恐惧贪婪指数35(恐慌) → 反向买入机会浮现
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#eth 上篇博文发的做空止盈了，接下来日线：整体上行未破（EMA多头+链上资金支撑），但短期回调压力大。 4H-1H：空头主导，关注3,752支撑，破位则下看3,730→3,700。
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#eth 日线多头趋势未破，但1小时-30分钟周期出现顶部结构，优先高空捕捉回调。关注3,770支撑区能否引发多头反扑
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