📈 1️⃣ Altcoin Season Index
By popular definition (like BlockchainCenter), Altcoin Season is when 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform BTC over the last 90 days.
Right now, the Altcoin Season Index is around 41/100 → not Altseason yet.
But the Altcoin Month Index is 80/100, which means altcoins are having strong short-term pumps.
⚖️ 2️⃣ BTC Dominance
BTC dominance is still high: around 60–62%.
For a real Altseason, BTC dominance usually drops sharply below 50–55% → money flows into mid-cap and small-cap coins.
Right now, BTC still leads the market, altcoins follow.
🔍 3️⃣ Market Behavior
Many memecoins and trending tokens are popping up (AI, SocialFi, Base, TON, meme trends).
Some smaller coins are showing 50–200% moves — early signs.
Analysts point to a “cup and handle” pattern forming in TOTAL3 (altcoin market cap excluding BTC & ETH) → bullish if BTC stays stable.
✅ Summary
It’s not full Altcoin Season yet (by 90-day index),
but it is an Altcoin Month → meaning small caps and trends are starting to move.
If BTC consolidates or ranges near highs, we could see a real Altseason next.
📌 Key Takeaway
Current phase: Pre-Altseason.
Good strategy: Spot trending narratives early (memes, AI, L2s) → rotate profits fast.
Watch for: BTC dominance dropping below 55% → strong signal for true Altseason.