Cardano (ADA), the often-underrated altcoin, is once again capturing investor attention after a sharp 19% surge in price. ADA climbed from $0.72 to a local high of $0.8496, breaking above critical resistance levels at $0.75 and $0.80, before slightly retracing. As the broader crypto market maintains upward momentum with Bitcoin and Ethereum holding strong, traders are wondering: is Cardano ready to finally break $1, or is it bluffing again?

Key Resistance Levels in Focus

ADA’s recent rally took it as high as $0.8650, a resistance that’s proving difficult to conquer. The coin currently trades around $0.8496. A daily close above $0.8650 would open the path to $0.90 and potentially $0.98. Technical indicators are turning favorable—RSI remains above 50 and the MACD shows bullish momentum.

However, ADA faces a familiar hurdle: conviction. While development activity on Cardano remains strong, particularly through DeFi platforms like Minswap and Indigo, whale accumulation is still neutral, according to on-chain data. Changelly analysts noted that a breakout past $0.90 could trigger fresh FOMO, possibly pushing ADA towards the symbolic $1 mark this quarter.

Bullish Momentum or Classic Cardano Stall?

Despite ADA’s encouraging technical setup, doubts linger. If Cardano fails to hold $0.8650, a pullback toward the $0.80 region is likely, supported by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the $0.71 swing low. A further drop below $0.7880 could damage the bullish outlook entirely.

Messari data shows consistent developer activity and growing total value locked (TVL) in Cardano-based dApps, adding strength to the coin's fundamentals. But ADA’s price trajectory may still depend on the broader market sentiment. Should Bitcoin or Ethereum falter, ADA is unlikely to remain immune.

Market Sentiment: Watching and Waiting

Cardano stands at a familiar fork in the road. The coin has price momentum, growing ecosystem strength, and active community support. Yet its path forward hinges on decisively breaking $0.8650 and maintaining upward pressure.

The market has seen this scenario many times before—a strong rally followed by sideways or downward movement. Whether ADA will finally make its move above $1 or stall again remains to be seen, but all eyes are on its next steps.

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