Dog's villa painted door 3674 refuted, long and short entangled 0.09% amplitude hides the universe
Last night, BlackRock ETF increased positions pushing ETH to sprint to the precise high of 3674.43, but was countered by SEC's securitization warning, forming a textbook-level painted door market. Currently trapped in the 3637 center, the 1-hour amplitude shrinks to a freezing point of 0.09% (chart purple box area), with buy and sell depth only differing by 0.05 (3636.65/3636.70), long and short entering a suffocating game.
Three core chart signals:
Bollinger Band death convergence: Channel width has compressed to 35, creating the narrowest record of the month, with nearly 90% convergence followed by an explosion of >5% volatility within 24h.
MACD divergence undercurrent: Current price is flat but green bars continue to shorten, with the fast and slow lines presenting a 'horizontal razor' shape above the 0 axis; this shape appeared on July 5 and previously caused a 7% crash.
Volume cliff plunge: Trading volume at 16 o'clock plummeted to the lowest valley on the chart (bar chart approaching zero), shrinking more than 75% compared to the average of the previous 6 hours, with on-chain showing that market maker order volume was halved.
Tycoon speculation:
Key turning point trigger: US market opening (around 21:30) requires vigilance for three types of signals:
If it breaks through 3639.28 (this morning's high) with volume, it is expected to test 3674.43 Dog's villa buried minefield
If it loses 3635.93 (current oscillation box bottom), it will trigger algorithmic selling domino effect
Continuous low volume flat for >4 hours, or the June 30 'flash crash washout' script may reappear
Long-short psychological defense line:
Bullish faith anchored at 3600 (30-day EMA + maximum pain point for options)
Bearish chips piled up at 3670-3700 (on-chain shows a 37,000 ETH sell wall)
Subsequent trend contradiction point:
Under the tug-of-war between regulatory bearishness (SEC) and capital bullishness (BlackRock), the technical aspect shows a rare 'three-line flat:
Price line: 3637 horizontal movement for 13 K lines
Trading volume: Bar chart flying close to the ground
MACD: Energy bars approaching zero
This pattern indicates a choice of direction in the short term, but is still constrained by the expectations of the August fork upgrade in the medium term. My personal judgment is that the probability of 'false breakdown followed by true rebound' is higher - if it quickly breaks through 3635 and then rapidly pulls back, it will create a bearish trap.
Flat is a smokescreen from the Dog's villa! Pay attention to the tycoon disassembling the 'suffocating market' three historical cases tomorrow, see through the new tricks of the main force washing out!#ETH #ETH走势分析
Retail investors' mindset should have been discarded long ago! Quickly seize the 'resource express', aggregate top ecological positions, only bring true ruthless people with full execution power!