Bitcoin has not finished its price rally as on-chain signals show that short-term whales have not yet reached typical profit-taking levels.
The current STH MVRV index is far from triggering strong selling, opening the possibility for Bitcoin to increase by another 20-25% before profit-taking pressure arises.
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The STH MVRV index signals that it has not yet reached a strong profit-taking threshold with short-term profits of about 15%.
The average realized price of short-term investors has just surpassed the threshold of 102,000 USD, raising the profit-taking limit.
Bitcoin could continue to increase by 20-25%, with potential to reach 141,600 – 147,500 USD before a major correction appears.
Is Bitcoin still in a strong growth cycle?
According to analyst Darkfost from CryptoQuant, the STH MVRV index measures the unrealized profits of investors holding Bitcoin short-term, which is still below the threshold of 1.35 – a level that typically triggers large profit-taking events.
This means that short-term whales have only reached about 15% profit, lower than the 35% in previous cycles, causing strong corrections.
“Each time the STH MVRV index reaches about 1.35, the market records a clear profit-taking behavior. Currently, Bitcoin still has room to increase by about 20% to 25% before hitting a dangerous threshold.”
Darkfost, CryptoQuant analyst, 17/07/2025
This index helps investors assess market sentiment and the right timing to buy or sell, increasing reliability compared to traditional analysis.
Why is the STH MVRV index important for Bitcoin's price?
The change in the realized price of short-term investors has just recorded its first time exceeding 102,000 USD on 11/07, creating a new threshold for profit-taking.
When the base price rises high, investors will need significantly larger profits before deciding to sell, thus providing more room for the market to continue rising.
How far can Bitcoin's price increase in the short term?
Based on historical profit-taking levels, Bitcoin has the potential to increase by another 20% to 25% before a strong correction occurs due to profit-taking.
With the current price around 118,000 USD, the price could reach 141,600 USD with a 20% increase, or a maximum of 147,500 USD if it increases by 25%.
“On-chain signals are indicating that there is still significant growth potential for Bitcoin before selling pressure appears, which aligns with the historical growth cycles of the world’s largest cryptocurrency.”
Analyst Darkfost, 07/2025
Frequently Asked Questions
What is STH MVRV and why is it important?
STH MVRV measures the unrealized profits of short-term investors, helping to identify when profit-taking pressure may rise based on historical cycles.
Why does profit not yet reaching a high level help Bitcoin increase in price?
When profits are not high, investors lack the incentive to sell off en masse, keeping selling pressure low, creating conditions for the market to continue rising.
Can Bitcoin's price exceed 140,000 USD?
On-chain data along with technical indicators show that Bitcoin could reach about 141,600 – 147,500 USD before a major correction appears.
Can the STH MVRV index change quickly?
This index changes gradually according to market sentiment and behavior, but significant fluctuations can occur when Bitcoin's price moves sharply in a short time.
How can individual investors take advantage of STH MVRV?
Individual investors can use this index to identify potential market increases or prepare for corrections, aiding in more accurate investment decisions.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/bitcoin-co-the-tang-25/
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