Encryption is an emotional economy, and has nothing to do with these

I believe there is a rule in the cryptocurrency world
When you think it has risen a lot and should fall, it probably won't fall
When you think it has fallen a lot and should rise, it probably won't rise
The key point is that what you think is likely also what most people think
The cryptocurrency world is about a small number of people making money; if you are doing what most people are doing, you are likely to lose money.