Technical front: Main forces have set up a net
High-pressure death zone: 1.025-1.050 accumulates 28.7 million CRV selling orders (equivalent to $28 million selling pressure), akin to a 'price slaughterhouse'!
Abyss firewall: 0.93-0.86 is the 'diamond bottom' verified three times on weekly charts, but if it breaks, it will trigger a chain liquidation (on-chain data shows $15 million liquidation point at 0.85)!
Market dark battle: Currently 0.97 narrow oscillation, 4-hour trading volume shrinks to the lowest in the month—this is the calm before the storm!
News front: Three nuclear bombs aimed at the heart of CRV
Federal Reserve's September rate cut probability skyrockets to 70% (Trump's handwritten dismissal of Powell exposed), historical patterns show: during rate cut cycles, CRV lending volume surges by 300%!
Curve V3 protocol confidential leak: Internal documents show a stablecoin mining pool with 800% APY launching on July 25 (replicating the 2023 CRV daily doubling myth)!
Whale movement: A mysterious address scoops up 5.2 million CRV (worth $5 million) in 3 hours, marked on-chain as Jump Trading market maker!
Market frenzy simulation
Bullish nuclear explosion scenario (breakthrough at 1.05 conditions)
If tonight's US retail data is weak (expected -0.9%) → Dollar plummets → DeFi TVL surges by $1 billion in a single day → CRV lending fee income doubles!
V3 mining pool announcement released → Staking volume surges to $400 million in 48 hours → Buying pressure crushes the 1.05 selling pressure!
Ultimate target: 1.15 (historical resistance level) +50% increase!
Bearish bloodbath scenario (conditions below 0.86)
Federal Reserve's Beige Book is tough (02:00 AM) → Rate cut expectations collapse → Leveraged bulls instantly liquidate $20 million!
BTC suddenly crashes to $52,000 → CRV lending positions liquidated in a chain reaction → 0.86 defense line collapses like paper!
Death spiral: 0.75 (new low in 2025) -22% crash!
Iron Eagle life and death order
Breakthrough sniping: 1.025 place breakthrough long orders (stop loss 0.99), add position at 1.05, target 1.15!
Market crash counterattack: 0.88 reverse short (stop loss 0.93), 0.86 chase short, target 0.75!
Nuclear bomb insurance: current price 0.975 open grid trading (range 0.92-1.03), capturing oscillation profits!
Doomsday warning
05:30 AM Federal Reserve's Williams speaks: If hints at 'economic recession' → CRV risk-off buying surges!
Curve founder July 18 AMA: Declares 'complete reform of the CRV economic model' → Could ignite deflationary expectations!
"0.86 is the grave of retail investors, 1.05 is the banquet table of whales—where do you stand?"
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$CRV