Pair: $HBAR / USDT
Current Price Range: ~$0.19ā0.23
A cluster of $38ā$70āÆmillion long positions could be wiped out if HBAR slips below $0.167ā0.20ātriggering major liquidations .
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š Why the Drop Could Happen
1. Liquidation Risk Zone
A slide under $0.167 could liquidate ~$42āÆmillion in longs .
Alternatively, under $0.20, about $70āÆmillion in shorts and longs could cascade into systemic pressure .
2. Resistance Rejections
HBAR recently hit $0.237 before failingāsignaling stalled momentum .
MACD and CMF indicators suggest bullish bias, but crossovers may lose steam soon .
3. Support & Volume Watch
Key support sits at $0.18ā0.17; below that opens downside toward $0.14ā0.16 .
On-chain inflows might cushion a drop, but failing to hold could spark panic.
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šÆ Possible Scenarios & Tactics
| Scenario | What to Watch | Suggested Action | |ā|ā|ā| | š» Bearish Breakdown | Price <āÆ$0.167 with rising volume | Watch for liquidation cascade ā ideal for short plays or wait for dip buy at $0.14 | | š Bounce from Support | Holds $0.18ā0.17; RSI/MACD signal turn | Scale into long positions with stops just below $0.167 | | š Choppy Range | Trading in $0.20ā0.23 band | Avoid chase; wait for breakout confirmation |
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š” Trader Tips
Use OCO entry orders around $0.18ā0.17, with SL just under.
Monitor CMF and MACD: bearish crossover could hint on downside starting.
If price bounces, take partial profits at upper resistance around $0.23ā0.24.
Liquidation watch: descending below $0.167 could trigger sharp swings.
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š Macro & Fundamentals ā
Bullish tone: CMF inflows are strong; HBAR still above 50/100 EMA .
Nvidia + AI angle: earlier partnerships helped cement resilience during broader dips .
Doubleābottom formation at ~$0.125 may offer midārange bounce if sellers exhaust .
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š Outlook Summary
HBAR is at a crossroadsādropping under ~$0.167 may trigger a massive $40ā70āÆmillion liquidation cascade, pushing price toward $0.14ā0.16. But if it holds the $0.17ā0.18 zone and bulls step in, a rebound into $0.22ā0.24 could spark a rescue rally.
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š¬ Whatās Your Strategy?
Are you shorting the dump or shopping the dip? Drop a š if you're playing rebound, or a š§± if you're bracing for a breakdown!
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