Technical analysis: Is the breakout real or fake? Keep an eye on the two signal lights!
Moving average life and death game:
Current price 118686 is close to the yellow moving average, as dangerous as walking on a tightrope!
Green line resistance at 120000: The first three times it hit here it was smashed (see the waterfall from 123218 to 118688 in the chart), it must break through with volume to truly break!
Case: On July 10, the same position, after 8 hours of sideways movement, surged 8%!
MACD scam alert:
Below, green bars shrink + DEA line flattening (like a throttle getting stuck), but buying volume (UB) 109349 > selling volume (LB) 107646 — the dealer is secretly accumulating!
Bloody lesson: The same pattern in June, after inducing more, it crashed 7000 dollars!
News front: Two major bombs tonight determine life and death!
Trump's CBDC ban brewing:
Digital dollar is blocked, the 4.3 billion BTC cost that Grayscale crazily bought is at 118000, falling below here is like giving away money!
On-chain evidence: Whales are placing a 6000 BTC support order at 118500
Federal Reserve rate cut grand finale:
21:15 Hamak speaks about "Weak labor market", BTC may surge to 120000;
If they shout "Stubborn inflation", be careful of an instant drop back to 116000!
Historical pattern: Last time after dovish remarks, it surged 6000 dollars in 24 hours!
Retail investor strategy: Three moves to eat fish body while avoiding fish bones!
Confirm the breakout before taking action:
Stabilize above 119000 + UB volume doubles → Chase the target 122000
If a fake breakout falls back → Hang at 117800 to replenish positions
Fall protection safety rope:
Current price holders lock in stop-loss at 116800
Invest 20% of funds in Binance with an annualized return of 8%, even in a crash, you can earn interest
Policy hedging secrets:
Federal Reserve hawkish → Transition to Hong Kong ETF (2818.HK)
Data explosion → Bottom-fishing Bitcoin mining stocks (RIOT)
Ultimate warning: The main force is playing psychological warfare! **
"委比-0.21%" indicates that sell orders exceed buy orders, but UB/LB reveals that the actual buying volume is stronger — a typical "hanging short orders scare retail investors, secretly absorbing at low prices" tactic!
Case: On July 17, the same tactic, after washing the plate, surged 12%!
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