The cryptocurrency market is recording distinctly positive signals, especially among altcoins excluding the top 10 coins. According to the latest analysis from renowned chart expert Rekt Capital, the altcoin market capitalization is currently showing strong signs of recovery, with a recent correction significantly lower than previous downturn cycles.

Altcoin Market Cap Holds Steady Above Long-Term Support

The altcoin market capitalization chart (excluding the top 10 coins) on the weekly timeframe is showing stable strength, with the current value reaching $281.25 billion. More importantly, this market cap level remains above a long-term support area that has existed for many years, indicating that investor confidence is increasingly solidifying.

Shallower Correction – A Sign of a Strong Market

The key point in Rekt Capital's bullish argument lies in the correction during the recent cycle. Specifically, the market only fell about 61.08%, equivalent to losing $275.6 billion — much lower than previous corrections that reached up to 69% and 85.55%, causing over $420 billion in value to evaporate.

The 'shallower' correction this time is seen as a sign that:

  • Selling pressure has decreased.

  • Market sentiment is no longer as panic-stricken as before.

  • Major resistance areas such as $425.03 billion are gradually weakening.

Cycle Models and Important Timeframes

According to Rekt Capital's chart, the altcoin market has seasonal cycle pivot points, marked by significant timeframes such as April 15, 2024 (the point of transition from accumulation to recovery) and September 29, 2025 (predicted to be the next transition phase).

A critical breakthrough occurred in December 2024, when altcoin market capitalization broke through the $250.73 billion mark, reaffirming this area as an important support-resistance level. This lays the foundation for the next rally.

Next Target: $315 Billion and Beyond $425 Billion

Currently, the nearest resistance area is $315.57 billion. In the early 2024 rally, the market reached this area but could not maintain the upward momentum. However, this recent return shows the determination and renewed strength of the buying side.

If the market continues to test resistances without facing strong rejections (i.e., no deep corrections like before), the possibility of reaching the $425 billion target is entirely feasible.

Conclusion: Is a New Altcoin Bull Run Emerging?

The data and charts presented by Rekt Capital are reinforcing one argument: the altcoin market is showing signs of entering a new recovery cycle, with selling pressure gradually weakening and resistance peaks tending to be eroded. If this trend continues, investors may witness significant growth in late 2025, when the next cycle timeframe is activated.

⏳ Note: The altcoin market is highly volatile. Investors should combine technical analysis with risk management and observe market sentiment to make appropriate decisions.