Brothers and sisters, tonight CPI explodes + Federal Reserve's three consecutive cuts + manufacturing data, whether we live or die depends on this night
Highlight 1: CPI is here! Tonight at 20:30, it determines life and death
The U.S. June CPI data, in simple terms:
CPI high → The Federal Reserve may raise interest rates → The dollar sucks blood → Bitcoin may crash
CPI low → Expectations for interest rate cuts rise → The market releases water → Bitcoin may surge
Tonight, 4 sets of data will be released simultaneously, with a core focus on
CPI annual rate (not seasonally adjusted)
CPI monthly rate (seasonally adjusted)
Core CPI (excluding oil volatility)
Exceeding expectations ( >3.4% )? → Reduce positions to avoid risk, run away
Below expectations ( ≤3.2% )? → Build positions in batches, bullets ready
Highlight 2: The three big shots of the Federal Reserve speak overnight
Tonight is the “hawk-dove battle,” please save the timetable
21:15 Bowman (hawkish) → A sentence “Inflation is stubborn,” the coin market freezes
00:45 Barr (regulatory) → Mentioning “crypto regulation” directly hits altcoins
02:45 Collins (moderate) → If saying “possible rate cuts within the year,” directly crushes short positions
Strategy mantra:
Hawkish speech = Avoid
Dovish speech = Charge
Set your alarm, listen to the wind and recognize the situation, tonight isn’t about who is technically skilled, but who wakes up at the right time
Highlight 3: Manufacturing index hides the big situation
Also at 21:15, New York Fed manufacturing data, at first glance it seems obscure, but it is actually a turning point signal!
>0: Economy stable, the Federal Reserve has confidence to raise interest rates, pressure in the crypto market is huge
<0, especially < -10: Economic downturn, the Federal Reserve is forced to release water, good for the crypto market
Judge together with CPI:
CPI drops + manufacturing crashes = double good news! Directly get in
CPI rises + manufacturing stable = double bad news! Don’t hesitate, evacuate quickly
Reminder: Three steps to protect life, remember tonight
1️⃣ 20:30 CPI data
Higher than expected → Reduce positions to avoid risk
Lower than expected → Build positions in batches
2️⃣ 21:15 Manufacturing index
Look at the direction with CPI, confirm entry and exit
3️⃣ Early morning Federal Reserve speech
Hawkish = open short!
Dovish = open long!
Final reminder:
Technicals are all ineffective tonight! Whoever is still drawing lines is accompanying themselves to the grave!
✅ Reasonable position ≤ 50%
✅ Set stop-loss and take-profit in advance, don’t be greedy
✅ Use spare money for speculation, risk control first
In the crypto world, it’s not about who lives fiercely, but who can endure to the end.
Once the data is out tonight, the bull-bear transformation is just a moment!
I will continue to update first-hand interpretations, follow me for 3 hard-core insider messages from the crypto world every day, be the information focus, not an information island!
