Surviving in the cryptocurrency world is itself a skill.
I started with a capital of 50,000, and I once lost so much that I doubted life, but I ultimately survived with this method. The following are the trading systems I summarized after stumbling and getting back up during three cycles of bull and bear markets.
Every point was earned through money and blood.
One, capital management: surviving is the top priority.
For those with a capital of less than 50,000, catching 1-2 certain opportunities a year is enough; don’t frequently enter and exit.
Always keep 30% cash reserves; in extreme market conditions, this is your 'oxygen tank,' determining whether you can bottom fish or reverse.
Going all in is the grave for retail investors; position control is always more important than win rate judgment.
Two, cognitive boundaries: determine how much you can earn.
Behind every wealth myth, there are countless '陪跑' cases of zeroing out.
Testing strategies with simulated trading? In real trading, your heartbeat and hand speed will betray you.
Never blindly buy in areas beyond your understanding; not understanding is the best stop-loss for retail investors.
Three, the truth of the news: those who watch hot searches are always the ones who take the bait.
When good news trends on hot searches, the market makers are already preparing to withdraw the ladder.
The speed at which the market anticipates expectations is always faster than news dissemination.
Trading based on news ensures you’ll spend your life as a 'contrarian indicator.'
Four, holiday risks: often the period of potential big movements.
48 hours before the holiday, start a staggered reduction in positions; don’t wait until a crash during the holiday to panic and flee.
Data shows: volatility during holidays increases on average by 3 times, especially during long holidays or periods with frequent external black swan events.
Five, medium to long-term strategy: knowing when to add positions is as important as knowing when to take profits.
Pyramid adding method: add 20% for every 15% drop. The more it drops, the more bullets you have.
Inverted pyramid selling method: reduce 30% for every 20% increase. The more it rises, the greater the risk.
This is the contrarian position management that allows you to enter and exit safely without guessing tops and bottoms.
Six, short-term coin selection logic: it’s not about having many coins.
Prioritize filtering for the following characteristics:
Daily trading volume > 100 million USD
Supported by deep liquidity from top exchanges.
Community activity ranks in the top 50 (based on popularity and interaction frequency).
Seven, the correct posture for bottom fishing: don’t act before the drop is over.
For projects that are in a downward trend, use a weekly investment strategy.
For flash crash targets, three technical conditions must be met before entering the market:
Volume increases by more than 3 times within 15 minutes.
Panic emotion indicators (like Funding Rate or Greed and Fear Index) reaching extremes.
Key support level validated 3 times without breaking
This is the real 'bottom'; it’s not just because you feel it.
Eight, the bottom line for stop-loss: it’s not faith, it’s discipline.
Set 'double stop-loss lines':
Hard stop-loss: -8% mandatory exit, controlling absolute loss.
Psychological stop-loss: once a key trend line is broken, liquidate immediately without hesitation.
Don’t fantasize that 'it will come back'; many assets in the cryptocurrency world are gone forever.
Nine, short-term technical combination: don’t focus on just one indicator.
Recommend a combination of three indicators with a higher win rate:
15-minute KDJ
1-hour MACD
4-hour Bollinger Bands opening/closing
When the three indicators resonate, the signal stability significantly increases, with a short-term operation win rate of over 65%.
Ten, ultimate advice on trading style: choose 'weapons' you can control.
Trend traders → specialize in EMA moving average systems.
Swing players → practice RSI top and bottom divergence, box oscillation models.
High-frequency players → familiarize with Level 2 order book + robot behavior characteristics.
Don’t learn to play systems you can’t control.
Choosing the right trading style gives you the qualification to discuss discipline and long-term.
The market always rewards those who adhere to discipline and punishes emotional gamblers.
Truly mature traders rely not on prediction but on stop-loss control and sense of rhythm.
Those who survive are not the ones who predict the best, but those who can afford losses, stabilize losses, and endure losses.
If you feel lost and helpless in trading, and want to know more practical strategies, methods, and logic for news judgment—
click on my homepage and follow me.
Clear market views give you confidence in your operations; steadily profiting is more practical than fantasizing about getting rich.
