National CPI Outlook: The Impact of Better/Worse than Expected Data on Monetary Policy

According to foreign media analysis on July 15, the June CPI report will significantly influence market expectations for the Federal Reserve's next policy move. Currently, the market anticipates a higher likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates in October. If the data is higher than expected, even significantly higher, the Fed will still wait until October to lower rates, but if the data is moderately below expectations, the Fed is expected to maintain rates in July and cut rates in September. In summary, the June CPI report will clarify who is right, Trump or Powell, regarding monetary policy. Retain core content

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