* Weekly Level: The price has effectively broken through and stabilized above the 111,600 level, confirming the **establishment of a medium-term upward trend**.
Key objectives and risks:
* Upper core target: 130,000.
* If the price can **effectively stabilize at 130,000**, it indicates strong upward momentum, with the next target pointing to **140,000**.
* If it **faces pressure and falls back without stabilizing** at the 130,000 level, there is a **higher probability of forming a phase top (“Bull Top”)** here. Multiple data dimensions need to be cautiously verified.
Medium-term strategy plan:
1. (Plan One: Pressure and Fall Back)
* Premise: The price touches 130,000 but **fails to effectively stabilize**, showing a clear fallback.
* Operation: Focus on the first support level below at **112,000**.
* Follow-up: After reaching 112,000, **closely observe price performance and stabilization signals** before deciding on subsequent strategies.
2. (Plan Two: Strong Breakthrough)
* Premise: The price **effectively breaks through and stabilizes at 130,000**.
* Operation: Given the potential for accelerated upward movement (to 140,000) but increased volatility risk, **it is advisable to wait and not chase highs**.
3. (Plan Three: Pullback to Buy)
* Premise: The price **actively pulls back from the current level or below 130,000** to near the key support of 112,000.
* Operation: **Look for stabilization signals to attempt to set up long positions**.
* Target: Holding target points to **around 130,000**.
Short-term trading strategy:
* Current support: The key short-term support level is at **118,000**.
* Operation suggestions:
* When the price **rebounds to around 123,000**, **look for technical resistance signals (such as stagnation, pattern resistance) to attempt light shorting**.
* Target: The downward target looks towards **around 120,000**.
* Risk control: **Be sure to set clear stop-losses** (for example, set at a reasonable position above 123,000) and closely monitor the strength of the 118,000 support. If the price strongly breaks through the 123,000 area, the short strategy will be invalidated. #BTC突破12万大关
$BTC ---
