#HODLTradingStrategy 🎯 Price target: 200,000 USD

1. 🔁 Analysis by halving cycle

Bitcoin usually sees significant price increases after each halving cycle (halving block rewards):

CycleTime to peak after halvingIncrease from bottomPrice peak2012~12 months~9,000%~$1,0002016~18 months~2,800%~$20,0002020~18–20 months~2,000%~$69,0002024Halving in April 2024??

→ The peak of this cycle is expected to occur by the end of Q4/2025 or Q1/2026.

2. 📊 Logarithmic growth model / long-term technical analysis

Currently, BTC is approaching a new ATH around $119,000 – $120,000.

If the current growth rate (~20–25%/month after each major breakout) is maintained, BTC could reach $200K in the next 6–9 months, meaning:

📅 Forecast for when BTC will reach 200,000 USD:

⏳ From January to March 2026

3. 🧩 Conditions for the forecast to occur:

The FED does not raise interest rates significantly again.

Spot Bitcoin ETF continues to attract large inflows.

No macroeconomic crisis (war, deep recession...).

BTC does not drop below $100K during Q4/2025.

✅ Action strategy:

Buy in portions from the $110K – $120K range, if still holding a medium-term position.

Do not FOMO if BTC surpasses $125K too quickly – wait for a technical correction before entering.

Plan to gradually take profits from the $180K – $200K range, avoiding absolute expectations.$BTC $BNB $ETH