Attention, crypto comrades! Trump's "Monday Hammer" could become a super catalyst for the crypto market. Although the specific details of sanctions are yet to be revealed, referencing the 2018 sanctions on Rusal that caused LME aluminum prices to surge by 30%, this precise strike against the Russian financial system could trigger three chain reactions:
First, when the dollar's hegemony faces countermeasures, Bitcoin's "digital gold" property will be validated once again. Just like during the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, when the number of cases of Russian billionaires transferring assets through cryptocurrency surged by 400%, this escalation of sanctions may lead more institutions to include Bitcoin in their crisis hedging portfolios.
Second, if the SWIFT system is used as a sanction weapon, it will accelerate the global process of de-dollarization. Look at the case in 2019 when Iran was kicked out of SWIFT, and local cryptocurrency trading volume surged 30 times; Russia is likely to follow suit, directly increasing the demand for stablecoins like USDT.
Third, rising geopolitical risks will inevitably lead to volatility in traditional markets, while the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has dropped to -0.2, making it the best safe haven for bottom-fishing funds. Remember the classic battle in March 2020 when the U.S. stock market crashed, and Bitcoin instead rose by 15%.
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