Hello everyone, I am Iron Eagle! The US initial jobless claims data is 227,000 (previous value 233,000), a heavy bearish signal, but the technical analysis for BTC is strongly bullish! Under intense bull-bear slaughter, is tonight a false drop to wash the market or a violent breakout? In three minutes, expose the main players' conspiracy, quick hide survival strategies for contract/spot traders!
Warning: Not investment advice, follow Iron Eagle to capture real-time movements of main players!
Technical Analysis: 11044.5 serves as a bull-bear meat grinder, triangular convergence is about to change the market
Fibonacci code fully analyzed:
Current price is consolidating around the 11000 area: firmly holding onto the strong support at 78.6% (11044.5), if it breaks this level, it will trigger panic selling!
Main players' hidden layout:
Daily rising triangle: Low points gradually raised (10917.3→11044.5), high point pressured at 11150
Ultimate Alert: If it falls below the 78.6% support, it will plummet to test 61.8% (10971.8) → 50% (10918.4)
Breakout Signal: Volume breaks through the 11150 neck line (38.2% resistance), targeting directly at 11300!
Iron Eagle Insight: Technical analysis indicates 'not dropping' hides secrets—on-chain data shows a million dollars in buy orders piled up below 11000, indicating clear intent from main players to support the market!
News: Why can't the bearish news drive the market down? Three major undercurrents support the coin price
(Data 227,000 VS expectation 235,000)
Surface bearish: Strong job data → Cooling interest rate cut expectations → Theoretically bearish for BTC
Deeper Truth:
'Bad news exhausted' effect: After the data release, BTC only slightly fell by 0.3%, far less than the decline in US stocks, indicating that the crypto market has already digested it in advance!
Interest rate cut logic unchanged: Federal Reserve minutes still hint at 'appropriate to cut interest rates within the year' (Figure 2.png), mid to long-term easing expectations support coin prices
Institutional hedging demand: Under the risk of a global trade war, BTC becomes a safe haven for funds (Trump's tariff list does not include cryptocurrencies)
Conclusion: Short-term bearish news cannot change the technical bull market, a pullback is a good buying opportunity!
Explosive Profit Strategy: Tonight's dual-line combat guide
Scenario 1: Main players quietly accumulating positions (probability 70%)
Characteristics: Rapidly pulled back above 11044.5 after a bearish drop
Contract Party:
Place long orders at 11050 → Increase position after breaking through 11150, target 11300
Hedging Plan: Set bullish options at 10980 (to guard against spikes)
Spot Traders:
Pyramid replenishment below 11000 (increase position by 10% for every $50 drop), firmly defend the 10918 line
Scenario 2: False breakout to lure buyers (probability 25%)
Characteristics: Quickly fell below 11044 after peaking at 11150
Contract Party:
Short position reversal at 11130 → Target 10970 → Take profit at 10918
Strict stop loss at 11180 (to guard against short squeezes)
Spot Traders:
Reduce position by 50% below 11044, buy back at 10918
Nuclear explosion market (probability 5%):
If Federal Reserve officials suddenly release hawkish comments (pay attention to the speech at 3 AM), it may flash break below 10800!
>>> Iron Eagle's Ultimate Command <<<
Core Defense Line:
Bullish lifeline at 11044.5 (78.6% Fibonacci)
Bearish breakout point at 11150 (upper triangle)
Position Discipline:
Contract leverage ≤ 15 times, data market position ≤ 3%!
Spot holders keep 40% cash to deal with black swan events
Next wealth point: Tomorrow night's CPI data will determine the mid-term direction, breaking through 11300 will start the main upward wave!
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In chaotic market conditions, hold tight to the big leg! Follow Iron Eagle, Iron Eagle is that golden leg! Always hold onto the legs of ambitious madmen!
$BTC