A dormant whale awakens after 4 years! 18,000 BTC moves, is the second half of the bull market about to start?
When ancient whales begin to stir, the market's tumultuous waves may already be brewing!
Nuclear-level on-chain movements.
On-chain monitoring data 'explodes': A dormant whale address that had been silent for 1538 days (over 4 years) transferred 17,283 BTC in batches within 24 hours! The last active movement of these BTC was back in March 2020, and these 'sleeping coins' suddenly 'came to life'.
In-depth analysis: Comprehensive breakdown of history, capital, and tactics.
Historical mirror: A signal on the eve of the bull market?
Before the bull market started in 2019, there was a famous scene of 'sleeping coins collectively awakening'!
Case replication: In October 2020, an address inactive for 3 years transferred 50,000 BTC, and BTC skyrocketed directly by 300% in the following 3 months. History won't simply repeat, but similar scripts are enough to keep the market's nerves tense.
Capital resonance: Institutions + whales charging together.
Spot ETFs continue to 'consume coins': Net inflow for 18 consecutive days, averaging 'consuming' 12,000 BTC daily. More importantly—current BTC inventory on exchanges has dropped to the level of the 2017 bull market. The supply-demand relationship is skewed, and with the joint effort of whales and institutions, this momentum is significant.
Trading tactics: 'Position restructuring' hides secrets.
The whale did not directly dump BTC into exchanges, but split it into 5 new addresses for transfer, a typical 'position restructuring' operation! Suspected to pave the way for over-the-counter large transactions, there may be significant funds entering for 'covert battles'.
Strategy report: How to play short-term, medium to long-term, and risk hedging?
Short-term speculation: Capture breakthroughs, watch key levels.
Support range: Keep a close watch on $63,000 - $65,000, holding above is a bullish signal;
Chasing the rise window: Break above the previous high of $68,500, can chase with a light position, short-term target looks at $75,000.
Medium to long-term layout: Bet on ecology, wait for catch-up.
Core direction: BTC ecology first, allocate 20% position to ETH (when whales move BTC, ETH often has catch-up movements);
Logic: The 'sector rotation' triggered by whale transfers creates arbitrage opportunities in ecology and mainstream coins.
Risk hedging: Keep cash, set stop-loss.
Stop-loss defense: Set a 5% stop-loss for holdings to guard against extreme price spikes;
Cash reserves: Keep some cash to cope with short-term volatility (when whale movements are uncertain, don’t go all-in hard).
Key warning: The ultimate signal of 'sleeping coins' movements.
On-chain data model reveal: When the movement of 'sleeping coins' exceeds 100,000 coins, it often triggers a 'historical high' market within 6 months! This whale has just moved 17,000 coins, and 5 new addresses may show larger actions within 72 hours.
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