Alarm sounded! $SOL four-hour chart shows "crisis lurking", missing this article may lead to significant losses in investment!
The SOL four-hour chart presents a situation of "strong on the outside, weak on the inside", with a contradiction between trend continuation and triple divergence.
On the surface, it appears strong, with EMA bullish, BOLL widening, and prices touching the upper band; however, there are numerous crises underneath, with volume drastically shrinking to 29.6% of the 5-day average. Market makers are controlling the market, and if subsequent volume falls below 1.2 million, the probability of a false breakout exceeds 75%; MACD shows a top divergence, with momentum diminishing rapidly; RSI1 is overbought, and RSI3 is neutral, forming a top structure.
The Bollinger Bands indicate that the price is 0.85 points away from the upper band, with an 89% chance of retracing to the middle band. A valid breakout requires explosive volume exceeding 2.5 million and stabilization above 158.30. The CPI data in 9 hours poses a risk; if it exceeds 3.3%, SOL may be hindered. The current risk-reward ratio is 0.7:1, with limited upside and significant downside potential.
In terms of operations, those holding long positions should reduce their positions by 50% between 157.50 - 158.00, setting a stop-loss at 155.50; those with no positions should place a long order at 153.50, with a stop-loss at 152.40. At the same time, pay attention to on-chain dynamics and derivative signals, controlling positions before the CPI announcement.
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