Attention! $OMNI Is violent market manipulation a signal to go long? Stop! This is the 'retail investor slaughterhouse', entering means getting crushed!
I'll get straight to the conclusion: the recent surge in OMNI is driven by technical upgrades, leveraged short squeezes, and major whales locking in positions.
In the short term, the Layer3 upgrade activates ecological expectations, while a chain of short liquidations drives up the price; in the medium term, the unlock on July 18 will create selling pressure, we need to see if institutional commitments can be fulfilled. Technically, $1.55 is a key resistance level, and on-chain $1.42 is a strong support zone for whales' cost, falling below this could signal a trend reversal.
In terms of bullish and bearish scenarios, the probability of a crash correction is 70%, a significant drop if key levels are broken, bulls should clear their positions quickly, and bears can enter short positions; the probability of a technical rebound is 25%, limited upside means timely stop-loss is needed; a miraculous reversal is only 5%, unless volume recovers key levels.
Currently, the OMNI technical indicators are 'completely collapsing', with long upper shadow gravestone doji forming a 'death triangle', significant on-chain selling pressure, the current price risk-reward ratio is extremely poor, limited upside and large downside potential.
Therefore, bulls should clear their positions, and bears should set up short orders and buy puts. Be cautious when playing with small-cap tokens, keep a close eye on on-chain and exchanges, maintain key price levels, hedge with options, and remember that this pattern in small coins is dangerous; staying alive is crucial.
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Let’s speak frankly, there are many opportunities in a bull market, but it’s also an elimination round; survival is the most important! It’s not too late to hop on the bandwagon now.