When Musk pulls the political trigger, DOGE is loaded with real bullets—not blanks. Tonight, the Bollinger Bands are tightening to the extreme, with $0.18 becoming the battleground for bulls and bears. A crypto tsunami triggered by a Twitter storm and technical resonance is on countdown!

Core Event: How will Musk's 'political nuclear bomb' ignite DOGE?

  1. 'Elite liquidation' catalyzes market sentiment.
    Musk has been attacking the political scene for three consecutive days: first forcing Trump to publicly disclose Epstein's records, then claiming '100% prosecution of implicated elites', causing panic across the internet. Historical experience shows thatEvery time Musk points to political corruption, DOGE inevitably becomes a symbol of capital hedging.:

    • In 2024, his statement 'Tesla may accept DOGE payments' caused a single-day surge of 40%;

    • If the list of elites is exposed this time, DOGE, a symbol of decentralization, may attract a massive influx of hot money worldwide, leading to a short-term violent surge.

  2. Dual assistance from the 'America Party' and the D.O.G.E. department.
    Musk establishes a new political party 'America Party', advocating for financial decentralization and openly supporting Bitcoin as a political tool. More importantly, the government efficiency department he leadsD.O.G.E. (Department of Government Efficiency) is seen by the market as a 'policy endorsement' for Dogecoin, and this news on July 9 has already stimulated a single-day increase of over 10% for DOGE.

Technical Aspect: Triangular convergence nearing the end, is $0.18 heaven or hell?

According to real-time data from CoinWorld and trading platforms (as of 2025-07-09):

  • Bollinger Bands are at an extreme contraction: price tightly adheres to the upper band ($0.1737), volatility has dropped to a yearly low, indicating that a breakthrough is inevitable within 24 hours;

  • MACD golden cross confirmed: DIF (0.00086) > DEA (0.00069), red bars continue to expand, buying momentum is dominant;

  • Key price level bets:

    • Bullish lifeline: 0.1729 (4-hour support) → falling below will plunge towards the abyss at 0.16;

    • Bearish breakout point: 0.177 (previous high resistance) → breaking above will open the violent surge channel of 0.185~0.20;

  • Whale sniper zone: $0.175~0.18 piles up over ten million dollars in short positions. Once the price rises, it is easy to trigger a 'chain liquidation', accelerating the increase.

My view: The probability of historical repetition is >70%, but beware of three major turning signals.

As an analyst tracking the Musk-DOGE link for 3 years, I believe this market trend has solid logical support:

  • Case reference: In 2024, DOGE surged 40% in a day due to rumors of Musk's 'Tesla accepting coins'. This time, the narrative of 'political hedging' is even stronger, and the D.O.G.E. department has already provided policy association space;

  • Risk Warning: If Trump retaliates (e.g., cuts Tesla subsidies) or Musk deletes tweets, DOGE may instantly drop 10%+ (referencing the mutual attacks between the two in July 2025 that caused DOGE to fall 15% in a day).

Real Combat Strategy: Two approaches to tackle tonight's chaos.

Strategy Type Operation Point Target/Stop-loss Applicable Audience Aggressive Bullish Current Price 0.1737 Light position try long Break 0.177 add position, target 0.185 High-frequency traders Stable type Break 0.1729 open short quickly in and out, gain 3%~5% Avoidance Risk Takers

Ultimate Risk Control:

  • Position ≤ 10%, avoid betting your fortune on a single gamble;

  • Set stop-loss at 0.171 (below the daily low) to prevent liquidation from price spikes.

Musk's words, DOGE's legs—tonight either rockets into the sky or faces a mining disaster! When a political powder keg meets a technical breaking point, will you choose to be the hawk in the wind or the chives under the sickle? Share this analysis, and we'll see the truth in the comments after dawn! Follow the homepage pinned for real-time strategies!