1. Fundamental Understanding: The brutal truth of profit and loss.
Asymmetrical Rule: Earning 100% requires the principal to double, while losing 50% can wipe out the principal. Conclusion: Protecting the principal is more decisive for long-term survival than chasing high profits.
The Duality of Compound Interest:
Positive Miracle: Earning 1% daily can grow 100,000 to 12 million in 250 trading days (about 1 year);
Negative Trap: Alternating between annualized 40% gains and 20% losses over 6 years, the final profit does not outperform government bonds (compound interest is consumed by losses).
2. Basic Operations: The 'Magic' Behind the Numbers.
Cost Averaging Logic: Invest 10,000 at 10 yuan (buying 1,000 units), then invest another 10,000 at 5 yuan (buying 2,000 units). Total investment is 20,000, total holdings are 3,000 units, actual cost = 20,000 ÷ 3,000 units ≈ 6.67 yuan (not the intuitive 7.5 yuan). The core idea: the cost of averaging is determined by the 'proportion of investment' rather than a simple average price.
Zero-Cost Holding Technique: Enter with a principal of 1 million, after a profit of 10% (total assets 1.1 million), sell 900,000 (recover principal + 90,000 from 100,000 profit), leaving 100,000 with zero holding cost — thereafter, fluctuations do not affect the principal, and the mindset remains stable.
3. Risk Hedging: A strategy tool that guarantees profits without losses.
CPPI Principal Protection Strategy: 800,000 allocated to stable financial products (annualized 3%-4%), 200,000 invested in high-volatility markets (like cryptocurrencies).
Worst Case: 200,000 lost, but 800,000 in financial products ensures the principal is intact.
Ideal Case: 200,000 earns 60% return, total profit = 800,000 × 3% + 200,000 × 60% = 24,000 + 120,000 = 144,000 (annualized 14.4%).
4. Temporal Patterns: The Proven 'Critical Windows'.
Historical Data Observation: The market fluctuates downward from May to August (stay on the sidelines); enter at the end of September, exit in November (autumn market); arrange before the Spring Festival and take profits in April of the following year (spring market). Rhythm: Capture 2 waves of major rises in two years, understand and exit, do not be greedy for tail-end markets.
5. Hunting for Hundredfold Coins: A 'Disciplined Method' with high risk and high return.
Bear Market Strategy: Hoard low-priced private coins (requires industry resources + project discernment skills, avoid air coins);
Bull Market Operations: Chase secondary hotspots (relying on technical analysis + trend judgment, avoid illogical speculation);
Iron Rule: Always divide positions into 10 batches when opening/closing trades to avoid losing everything due to a single mistake.
6. Position Management: The 'Balancing Technique' allows you to sleep soundly regardless of ups and downs.
Category Ratio: Hot coins (betting on growth, such as emerging concept coins) and value coins (stable foundation, such as mainstream consensus coins) should be allocated at a ratio of 3:7 — hot coins bring profits during surges, value coins hedge against risks during declines.
Ultimate Survival Formula: Account Funds = 50% Positions (core assets) + 30% Cash (flexible averaging) + 20% Stable Coins (risk-hedging buffer). Warning: All-in players, 90% have been eliminated by the market.
7. Iron Rules for Execution (the key to knowing and acting as one).
Take Profit and Stop Loss Discipline: Sell part of the principal when it rises by 10% (locking in costs), consider averaging down when it falls by 20% (to avoid premature bottom fishing).
Watching Discipline: Only monitor the market for 2 hours a day (e.g., fixed from 8-10 PM), turn off the rest of the time — reduce emotional interference and avoid frequent operations.
Profit Reallocation: Withdraw 50% of all single profits for BTC dollar-cost averaging (anchoring long-term value and hedging against short-term volatility).
Conclusion: The crypto world specializes in 'defiance', but those who understand the rules can change their fate. The market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is the clarity of 'knowing the boundaries and maintaining discipline'. True profit is never based on luck or 'following the right person', but on thoroughly understanding profit and loss logic, managing positions well, and enduring volatility — after all, those who survive in the crypto space for 10 years understand: surviving means making money is just a matter of time.
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