《The Dollar's Veil is Torn! The 99.5 Life-and-Death Line Will Battle Tonight, Countdown to the Collapse of a 37-Year Peak》

1. The Four Pillars of Dollar Hegemony are Fully Collapsing​​​​High Interest Rates Become Ineffective​​: Expectations for a Fed rate cut in September are rising, and the disappearance of interest rate differentials leads to capital outflows.​​Balance Sheet Reduction Backfires​​: The scarcity of the dollar is offset by debt monetization, with US debt reaching​​ $36 trillion​​ (121% of GDP).​​Geopolitical Conflicts Fail​​: The abuse of SWIFT sanctions (such as freezing Russian foreign exchange) accelerates the de-dollarization by various countries, with 38% of Saudi oil being settled in RMB.​​Monetization Overdraws Credit​​: The proportion of dollars in global central bank foreign exchange reserves plummets to​​ 58%​​ (a 30-year low), while the proportion of RMB rises to 6.5%.

2. September Rate Cut Triggers Dollar Collapse Cycle​​​​Vicious Chain​​: Rate cut → Dollar depreciation → US debt sell-off (global central banks to sell $48 billion in 2025) → Dollar credit collapses.​​Debt Crisis​​: 45% of the $36 trillion US debt is short-term, and $16.2 trillion needs to be refinanced in 2025, with the overseas holding ratio plummeting to 23%.

​​Key Conclusion​​: The probability of US debt collapsing within five years surges, and dollar hegemony is like a “maxed-out credit card.”

3. Technical Life-and-Death Line: The 99.5 Threshold​​

​​If it holds above 99.5​​: The rebound space is capped by 100.18 (52-week high), making it difficult to change the weak trend.​​If it falls below 98.97​​: The upward trend since 2008 is completely reversed, opening up downward space.

4. Emergency Response Strategies for Investors​​

​​Hedge Against Dollar Risks​​: Increase allocation to gold (central bank gold purchases exceed 1,000 tons in 2025); position in digital RMB (cross-border payment efficiency in 7 seconds).​​Shift to Emerging Markets​​: Regions with high exchange rate elasticity such as India and Vietnam present “devaluation recovery dividends.”​​Stay Away from US Debt​​: A $36 trillion debt volcano, with the overseas takeover ratio dropping to 26.4%.

​​Iron Rule​​: Going against the trend = suicide! The collapse of dollar hegemony is an historical inevitability.

​​Strike Precisely, Master the Waves! The K-Line Judge Team's private domain layout helps you grab market launch points with low leverage contracts, starting the asset doubling engine! #美国加征关税