Federal Reserve Tug of War! Will Tonight's Minutes Trigger a Nuclear Bomb in the Crypto World?
At 2 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes from the June meeting! This document may seem dull, but it is actually an 'X-ray' into the internal divisions of the Federal Reserve—among 19 officials, 7 hawks insist on no interest rate cuts, while 8 doves advocate for two cuts. The battle over inflation, tariffs, and employment has reached a boiling point. For the crypto world, this directly relates to whether hundreds of billions in liquidity will be injected into the market in the second half of the year!
Hawkish Bottom Line:
Concerns that tariffs will push up inflation (Powell warns of a potential 'notable rebound' in summer inflation);
No signs of economic recession, with unemployment at only 4.1%, cutting rates = enabling bubbles.
Dovish Charge:
Hidden risks in the job market: job vacancies are declining, immigration policies may distort the accuracy of data (Goldman Sachs report points directly to 'finding a job becoming harder');
The impact of tariffs may be overestimated, with corporate inventory buffering + weak travel demand suppressing inflation.
Crypto Lifeline:
If the minutes lean hawkish: the dollar rebounds, Bitcoin may fall below the $105,000 support level, high-leverage long positions become 'liquidation fuel';
If the doves gain the upper hand: liquidity expectations rise, BTC charges toward $110,000, altcoins surge by 20%+!
Tonight's minutes are not just a policy bottom line but also a signal for liquidity gates! Historical experience: the greater the internal divisions within the Federal Reserve, the more violent the market fluctuations. Remember—when whales are eating meat, don't be the cannon fodder! Strictly adhere to stop-losses, wait for clarity before hitting hard.
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