Bitcoin may be about to set a new price record in the coming days as on-chain data shows unprecedented positive trends. Historical models and macroeconomic factors also support the possibility of a strong breakout.
Data from multiple previous bull cycles indicate that Bitcoin often surpasses its previous highs within about 50 days if there is no deep correction of over 20%. At the same time, the current weakening of the USD is also boosting Bitcoin's strength in the global cryptocurrency market.
MAIN CONTENT
The scenario of Bitcoin reaching a new peak is forecasted based on the historical model of 50 days without deep corrections.
Bitcoin's price remains stable near its peak, indicating low selling pressure, and the market is preparing for a breakout.
The weakening of the USD (DXY) positively contributes to supporting Bitcoin's price increase.
Is Bitcoin really about to reach a new price peak?
CryptoQuant expert Axel Adler Jr states that Bitcoin's historical model shows a positive signal as it has been nearly 47 days without deep corrections, and only a few days left until the 50-day mark – the time when Bitcoin often sets new peaks in bull markets.
Throughout the growth cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021, Bitcoin maintained stable prices or only experienced slight corrections of less than 20% before reaching new all-time highs within just a few weeks. This demonstrates the buying strength when the market is highly stable.
If there is no deep correction of over 20% in the bull cycle, Bitcoin usually reaches new peaks within 50 days. Currently, it has been 47 days since the last ATH and there are no signs of significant decline.
Axel Adler Jr, Cryptocurrency Analyst, 9/7/2025
Does history repeat a similar scenario this time?
Data shows that market conditions are very favorable for Bitcoin as volatility decreases, selling pressure is weak, and the price is maintained close to the current peak. This increases the chances of Bitcoin establishing a higher price within the next 7 days.
The 'calm' market state has previously appeared in many bull runs and has always led to strong breakouts. Expert Axel Adler Jr believes that the likelihood of historical patterns repeating is quite high due to positive fundamental factors.
How is the weak USD factor supporting Bitcoin?
CryptoQuant expert Darkfost points out the familiar correlation: when the USD index (DXY) falls below the 365-day average, Bitcoin tends to rise sharply. Currently, the USD continues to weaken, predicting a favorable environment for Bitcoin in the cryptocurrency market.
Periods when the DXY trades below the 365-day average are very favorable for Bitcoin. The current situation is similar to past bull markets.
Darkfost, CryptoQuant Analyst, 9/7/2025
As of now, Bitcoin is trading around 108,769 USD, recording a slight increase in the past 24 hours, consistent with the forecast trend.
Comparing major bull cycles of Bitcoin
Peak Day Cycle Time to reach a new peak since the previous peak (days) Correction rate before the new peak (%) 2013 4/2013 42 No more than 20% 2017 12/2017 45 No more than 20% 2021 4/2021 48 No more than 20% Current (2025) — 47 (as of 9/7/2025) No recorded corrections >20%
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Does Bitcoin necessarily have to create a new peak after 50 days? It is not mandatory, but history has often shown that Bitcoin usually sets new peaks within 50 days if there is no deep correction of over 20%. This is a model that experts have confirmed through many cycles. What makes Bitcoin's upward trend sustainable? The main factor is strong liquidity, low selling pressure, and additionally, the weakening of the USD often stimulates the capital flow into Bitcoin, stabilizing its price. What data can you rely on to believe Bitcoin is about to rise in price? On-chain data from leading analysts and the correlation of the weakening USD with Bitcoin are highly reliable indicators, supported by market history. How does the weak USD affect Bitcoin? A weak USD increases Bitcoin's relative value, as investors often seek alternative value storage assets, thereby boosting demand and driving Bitcoin prices higher.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/bitcoin-sap-lap-dinh-cao-moi/
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