Under the BTC tariff environment, will the large level go up or down?

As shown in the figure, the third K of this month has just emerged but lacks follow-through strength. Today brings significant news regarding tariffs, and a big fluctuation is imminent. The support at 102700 is very strong; in extreme market conditions, a single K could directly fill this gap.

There are two ways to express the monthly level:

1. After filling the gap at 102700, stabilizing would solidify the foundation for this high-level volatility and determine an upward path towards new highs.

2. After filling the gap at 102700, liquidity may lead to a rebound, but if the rebound peaks continue to decline, it could eventually fall below 101000. This situation generally indicates that the big coin's breakthrough has failed, leading to a significant monthly gap fill, as shown at the first top box in the figure. In this case, it could drop significantly to the 83000-84000 range, continuing the high-level wide-range oscillation and consolidation.

Currently, I personally believe that the probability of the first scenario is relatively high; you can refer to #美国加征关税 $BTC .